TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,264 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29d2…7babbacked Over18c770.48$137 inLost-$136.571827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under77c419.54$323 inWon+$96.121,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over65c310.13$201 inLost-$201.171,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under35c285.71$100 inWon+$185.711936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c237.7$91 inWon+$146.595,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over61c206.56$126 inLost-$12633452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Under39c103.14$40 inWon+$62.921741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under59c60.07$35 inWon+$24.762,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over69c53.97$37 inLost-$37.191,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5397…ae53backed Over38c52.63$20 inLost-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick56cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over55c50$28 inLost-$27.513743.8%60 W · 77 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under77c25.98$20 inWon+$5.988836.4%32 W · 56 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked Over67c23$15 inLost-$15.411942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbe6…13e3backed Over67c16$11 inLost-$10.72540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.