Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d38a7b68815bd06e1ec0a9f85df3dc697da141e18d7806ff9161ca128081833
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 8,807$4,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,315.39 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 30c | 4,342$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.15 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 9c | 3,320$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.77 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 77c | 2,633$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.44 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 2,230$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.15 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 38c | 1,583$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.53 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 1,530$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.7 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 3c | 837.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 72c | 765$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.43 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 62c | 686.69$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.28 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Under | 54c | 576$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.04 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 3c | 510.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Under | 69c | 505.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Under | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 51c | 299.36$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.69 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 292.39$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.15 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 261.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 224$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 42c | 184.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 178$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Over | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Over | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 39c | 164.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 62c | 120.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 72c | 111.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 59c | 93.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 45c | 92.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Over | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 51c | 84.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 50c | 78.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…f83abacked Under | 62c | 75.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 38c | 68.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 74c | 68.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 66.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…2b2fbacked Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 25c | 65.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 68c | 55.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…e9acbacked Under | 58c | 51.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 74c | 48.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 51c | 47.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…b8b6backed Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 66c | 44.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 55c | 41.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…9d37backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 63c | 35.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…eb9dbacked Under | 51c | 35.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Under | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 51c | 26.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…bbecbacked Over | 41c | 25.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Under | 59c | 25.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 57c | 22.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under | 58c | 21.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 61c | 20.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…116fbacked Under | 62c | 17.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Under | 69c | 14.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.