Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64482c3591e0a44434aba19810294d2d075dbdd7f79a97d5e7fd68515e0c1fa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 38c | 3,937$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.22 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 1,422$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 1,377$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.49 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.11 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 40c | 1,105$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.3 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 55c | 622.66$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 49c | 599.98$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.79 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 43c | 520.04$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.03 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 47c | 426.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.04 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 69c | 403.93$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.75 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 34c | 396.8$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.89 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 50c | 391.37$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.69 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 66c | 387.83$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Under | 29c | 370$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.7 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 5c | 328.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 297.14$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 32c | 289.56$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 32c | 270.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.71 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 66c | 234.57$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.01 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 36c | 194.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 42c | 156.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 69c | 150$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 13c | 149.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 21c | 125.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 37c | 109.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 19c | 95.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 69c | 80.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 68c | 80.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 71c | 69.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 70c | 69.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed Over | 69c | 62.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 67c | 58.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 36c | 48.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 70c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 70c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…fbe1backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…1cd3backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 31c | 32.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 36c | 30.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…9900backed Over | 66c | 30.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 73c | 30.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 47c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Over | 72c | 24.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 63c | 24.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 74c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 65c | 22.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 49c | 21.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 65c | 19.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…13e3backed Over | 72c | 18.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 69c | 14.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 77c | 13.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.