TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Lynxof PuckChamp, Team Lynx
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,944 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdccd…f41abacked PuckChamp40c3,039$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.6112252.5%64 W · 58 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+19.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked PuckChamp56c1,962$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9850850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed PuckChamp58c1,895$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10048057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked PuckChamp43c1,763$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.9132756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebb9…1d15backed Team Lynx44c1,349$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.279535.8%34 W · 61 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked Team Lynx70c1,335$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.3712764.6%82 W · 45 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed PuckChamp62c1,135$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.315050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Lynx47c1,020$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.9589938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Lynx44c941.78$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.041,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked PuckChamp55c854.9$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.429145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Lynx25c833.02$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.7570052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Lynx40c818.08$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.940644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Lynx52c781.59$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.1489238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b94…9c0dbacked Team Lynx74c671.1$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.364358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed PuckChamp71c633.61$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9443860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Team Lynx47c546.64$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.7823736.7%87 W · 150 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Lynx28c539.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.137745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked PuckChamp46c510.42$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9231251.3%160 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Lynx54c505.93$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7166545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a93…8e36backed PuckChamp60c497.42$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004562.2%28 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fdc…9704backed Team Lynx72c475.5$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.632860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8b6…f6ffbacked PuckChamp73c455.36$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.77933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PuckChamp44c421.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.32,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed PuckChamp58c416.28$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4479959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed Team Lynx23c391.3$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.35621.4%12 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Lynx51c390.56$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.179341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked PuckChamp53c376.13$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3595342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2965…89ebbacked Team Lynx60c373.97$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5410251%52 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed PuckChamp58c364.37$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3356848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Team Lynx49c293.83$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6616539.4%65 W · 100 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Team Lynx46c292$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8319547.2%92 W · 103 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Lynx51c284.86$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5242639.4%168 W · 258 L-39.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Lynx56c284.17$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0361449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed PuckChamp68c283.07$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8993546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671c…7759backed PuckChamp71c261.4$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.59450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Team Lynx40c238.87$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5541455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3d8…c931backed PuckChamp45c204.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.111946.2%55 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Team Lynx35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13032445.1%146 W · 178 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked PuckChamp37c196.01$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.521,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a9…e7d8backed Team Lynx43c195.81$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.974738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Team Lynx48c193.8$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1441632.7%136 W · 280 L-37.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Lynx42c184.73$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7581345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Lynx43c178.2$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2566947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed PuckChamp66c173.59$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3312150.4%61 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed PuckChamp58c170.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9265647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Team Lynx44c167.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2256945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf119…dde9backed Team Lynx67c163.22$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.228359%49 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b69…8d8bbacked PuckChamp58c160.27$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Lynx48c158.12$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6262650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed PuckChamp44c156.32$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7838142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Team Lynx42c153.79$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.52321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd21…cbdcbacked PuckChamp53c153$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed PuckChamp60c149.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9037253%197 W · 175 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked PuckChamp36c138.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033854.1%183 W · 155 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Team Lynx36c137.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.377349.3%36 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed Team Lynx51c130.11$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.757944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked PuckChamp66c121.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Lynx41c112.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.451,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3214…cfcbbacked PuckChamp61c110$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.716361.3%100 W · 63 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7238…64ebbacked Team Lynx34c106.19$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Lynx38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2659556.6%337 W · 258 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Lynx44c102.9$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3358746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Lynx58c100.19$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.751,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed PuckChamp62c99.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6267555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee59…e42abacked PuckChamp31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028846.9%135 W · 153 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…ef1cbacked PuckChamp26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed PuckChamp67c91.6$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3771342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x172a…8b83backed PuckChamp71c89.47$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…ae14backed Team Lynx40c87.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.682133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Lynx44c85.82$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4644049.3%217 W · 223 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Team Lynx53c81.14$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.053647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Team Lynx45c80.87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1521344.1%94 W · 119 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x142f…19f9backed Team Lynx40c73.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9223442.7%100 W · 134 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4738…e64abacked PuckChamp49c70.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Team Lynx36c68.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6268345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d9…b188backed Team Lynx43c67.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.439855.1%54 W · 44 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed PuckChamp48c60.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.265735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7560…1ee1backed PuckChamp21c52.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121133.6%71 W · 140 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed PuckChamp34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.220820.7%43 W · 165 L-18.8wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb5a2…a9bfbacked PuckChamp48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019455.7%108 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb844…dee6backed Team Lynx75c40.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.134856.3%27 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed PuckChamp61c39.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1112252.5%64 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a35…7a58backed PuckChamp77c38.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4339…beeebacked Team Lynx64c38.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.948055%44 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a53…71a3backed Team Lynx54c36.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7518562.7%116 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked PuckChamp45c36.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3453538.5%206 W · 329 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed PuckChamp70c35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6560660.7%368 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1508…0648backed PuckChamp58c34.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Team Lynx52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Lynx48c29.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5258943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team Lynx43c29.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8940442.3%171 W · 233 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Lynx57c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1550032.2%161 W · 339 L-47.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked PuckChamp51c27.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.963286.4%21 W · 307 L-102.4wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-72.6%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked PuckChamp58c26.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.228647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed PuckChamp40c26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.298254.9%45 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed PuckChamp55c25.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2810453.8%56 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ce…e2eabacked PuckChamp52c25.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd2…0985backed PuckChamp59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-78.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3d…f571backed Team Lynx45c24.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Team Lynx52c23.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3810952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.