Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x836b2d904014ddd25f41e4931c023091fb9e13eaf25f85053dd0a5b69c128651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof PuckChamp, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked PuckChamp | 40c | 3,039$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.61 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked PuckChamp | 56c | 1,962$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed PuckChamp | 58c | 1,895$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked PuckChamp | 43c | 1,763$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.91 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Team Lynx | 44c | 1,349$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.27 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Team Lynx | 70c | 1,335$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.37 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed PuckChamp | 62c | 1,135$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.3 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Lynx | 47c | 1,020$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.95 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Lynx | 44c | 941.78$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.04 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked PuckChamp | 55c | 854.9$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.42 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Lynx | 25c | 833.02$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.75 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Lynx | 40c | 818.08$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.9 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Lynx | 52c | 781.59$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.14 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…9c0dbacked Team Lynx | 74c | 671.1$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.36 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed PuckChamp | 71c | 633.61$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.94 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Team Lynx | 47c | 546.64$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.78 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Lynx | 28c | 539.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.1 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked PuckChamp | 46c | 510.42$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.92 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Lynx | 54c | 505.93$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.71 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…8e36backed PuckChamp | 60c | 497.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…9704backed Team Lynx | 72c | 475.5$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.63 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b6…f6ffbacked PuckChamp | 73c | 455.36$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PuckChamp | 44c | 421.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PuckChamp | 58c | 416.28$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.44 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Team Lynx | 23c | 391.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.3 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Lynx | 51c | 390.56$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PuckChamp | 53c | 376.13$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…89ebbacked Team Lynx | 60c | 373.97$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.54 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed PuckChamp | 58c | 364.37$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.33 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Team Lynx | 49c | 293.83$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.66 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Team Lynx | 46c | 292$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.83 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Lynx | 51c | 284.86$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Lynx | 56c | 284.17$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PuckChamp | 68c | 283.07$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.89 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671c…7759backed PuckChamp | 71c | 261.4$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Lynx | 40c | 238.87$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…c931backed PuckChamp | 45c | 204.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Lynx | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PuckChamp | 37c | 196.01$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed Team Lynx | 43c | 195.81$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Team Lynx | 48c | 193.8$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Lynx | 42c | 184.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Lynx | 43c | 178.2$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed PuckChamp | 66c | 173.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PuckChamp | 58c | 170.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Lynx | 44c | 167.55$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf119…dde9backed Team Lynx | 67c | 163.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…8d8bbacked PuckChamp | 58c | 160.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Lynx | 48c | 158.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed PuckChamp | 44c | 156.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Team Lynx | 42c | 153.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd21…cbdcbacked PuckChamp | 53c | 153$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed PuckChamp | 60c | 149.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked PuckChamp | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Team Lynx | 36c | 137.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Team Lynx | 51c | 130.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked PuckChamp | 66c | 121.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Lynx | 41c | 112.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked PuckChamp | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…64ebbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 106.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Lynx | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Lynx | 44c | 102.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Lynx | 58c | 100.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PuckChamp | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked PuckChamp | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked PuckChamp | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed PuckChamp | 67c | 91.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172a…8b83backed PuckChamp | 71c | 89.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed Team Lynx | 40c | 87.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Lynx | 44c | 85.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Team Lynx | 53c | 81.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Team Lynx | 45c | 80.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Team Lynx | 40c | 73.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked PuckChamp | 49c | 70.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Lynx | 36c | 68.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Team Lynx | 43c | 67.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed PuckChamp | 48c | 60.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed PuckChamp | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed PuckChamp | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked PuckChamp | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…dee6backed Team Lynx | 75c | 40.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed PuckChamp | 61c | 39.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a35…7a58backed PuckChamp | 77c | 38.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Team Lynx | 64c | 38.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Team Lynx | 54c | 36.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked PuckChamp | 45c | 36.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed PuckChamp | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed PuckChamp | 58c | 34.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Team Lynx | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Lynx | 48c | 29.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team Lynx | 43c | 29.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Lynx | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked PuckChamp | 51c | 27.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked PuckChamp | 58c | 26.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed PuckChamp | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed PuckChamp | 55c | 25.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…e2eabacked PuckChamp | 52c | 25.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed PuckChamp | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…f571backed Team Lynx | 45c | 24.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Team Lynx | 52c | 23.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerPuckChamp won
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.