TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7238…64eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andre Ilaganbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
ITF Astana: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Mukund Sasikumarbacked Pawit Sornlaksup · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.39
ITF Astana: Egor Pleshivtsev vs Arnav Vijay Paparkarbacked Arnav Vijay Paparkar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.71
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensikbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.72
ITF Tianjin: Matthew Dellavedova vs Suk Annbacked Matthew Dellavedova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$26.9
National Bank Open: Rebecca Sramkova vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$33.3
Hagen: Max Schoenhaus vs Marko Topobacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+216.5%+$245.57
National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$24.35
Hagen: Stefano Travaglia vs Matej Dodigbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$64.6
Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatanchevabacked Zuzanna Pawlikowska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+31%+$26
Plovdiv 2: Hernan Casanova vs Yannick Alexandrescoubacked Yannick Alexandrescou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$68.39
Samsun: Paul Inchauspe vs Gabriel Debrubacked Gabriel Debru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$8.2
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Sumit Nagalbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$8.07
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Vancouver: Benjamin Bonzi vs Blaise Bicknellbacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$3.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Brute vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Playoffsbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.87
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 9INE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 7backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Counter-Strike: Aogiri vs Giant Pandas (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 5backed Giant Pandas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$8.43
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.97
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$152.33
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+262.7%+$50.69
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+78%+$22.02
Counter-Strike: GamersLab Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Group Stagebacked GamersLab Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.79
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Dbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$79.62
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$51.59
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.55
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+240.7%+$175.74
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.79
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Habos Babos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$79.37
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+171.4%+$60
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.94
Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.73
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$16.29
LoL: Myth Esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$9.31
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.73
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.22
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$50
LoL: Maze Gaming vs Malvinas Gaming (BO5) - LRS Playoffsbacked Malvinas Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
LoL: Baam Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stagebacked 3BL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.95
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.