Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcb5d352c688b8a434b6d8a133fb77b381170a946d123d7e407e897b5bab0cd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RE.Ariseof RE.Arise, No Hoodwink
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed No Hoodwink | 57c | 50,099$28,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,556.2 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed RE.Arise | 38c | 12,933$4,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,966.75 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked No Hoodwink | 54c | 8,764$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,740.25 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…34d9backed RE.Arise | 22c | 8,181$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,382.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked RE.Arise | 42c | 7,000$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.53 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked RE.Arise | 42c | 6,628$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.58 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed RE.Arise | 46c | 6,337$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.98 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No Hoodwink | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No Hoodwink | 58c | 4,796$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.33 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked RE.Arise | 46c | 4,308$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.37 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked No Hoodwink | 55c | 3,428$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.63 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked RE.Arise | 76c | 3,034$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.75 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed RE.Arise | 43c | 2,990$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.25 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed RE.Arise | 43c | 2,983$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.04 | 479 | 53.9%258 W · 221 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked No Hoodwink | 77c | 2,940$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.72 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed RE.Arise | 54c | 2,661$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.18 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d59…8b19backed RE.Arise | 41c | 2,283$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.95 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…ac39backed No Hoodwink | 77c | 2,107$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RE.Arise | 25c | 2,047$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.38 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed RE.Arise | 24c | 2,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.98 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked No Hoodwink | 46c | 1,920$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.2 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed RE.Arise | 48c | 1,774$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.73 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked RE.Arise | 49c | 1,767$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.44 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked RE.Arise | 43c | 1,754$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.55 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked RE.Arise | 43c | 1,602$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.23 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked RE.Arise | 39c | 1,588$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.06 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed No Hoodwink | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed RE.Arise | 38c | 1,452$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.06 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed RE.Arise | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed No Hoodwink | 58c | 1,150$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed RE.Arise | 42c | 1,142$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.83 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked RE.Arise | 41c | 1,067$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.48 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed No Hoodwink | 47c | 1,058$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.47 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed RE.Arise | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed RE.Arise | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…522fbacked RE.Arise | 42c | 988.44$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked RE.Arise | 43c | 980.49$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.88 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked No Hoodwink | 77c | 979.53$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.24 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked RE.Arise | 49c | 964$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.64 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed RE.Arise | 43c | 960$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.2 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked RE.Arise | 42c | 944.47$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.47 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed No Hoodwink | 55c | 936.97$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed No Hoodwink | 58c | 840.06$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed No Hoodwink | 59c | 839.45$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.72 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No Hoodwink | 57c | 838.13$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.82 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked RE.Arise | 43c | 804.1$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.02 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed RE.Arise | 16c | 799.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RE.Arise | 25c | 741.67$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.57 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked No Hoodwink | 58c | 732.38$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.1 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed No Hoodwink | 52c | 731$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.88 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed RE.Arise | 43c | 726.92$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed RE.Arise | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed No Hoodwink | 54c | 682$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935c…59f8backed No Hoodwink | 60c | 661.34$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed RE.Arise | 46c | 653.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.71 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed No Hoodwink | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed RE.Arise | 44c | 627.8$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.7 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked No Hoodwink | 51c | 621.36$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.9 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed RE.Arise | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked RE.Arise | 49c | 597.54$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.89 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…13d4backed No Hoodwink | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed RE.Arise | 47c | 556.12$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.74 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed RE.Arise | 17c | 547.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.29 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…95e2backed No Hoodwink | 41c | 531.11$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed RE.Arise | 29c | 520.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.52 | 376 | 32.2%121 W · 255 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed RE.Arise | 40c | 502.84$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.92 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked RE.Arise | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed No Hoodwink | 52c | 487.93$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.72 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…e5dfbacked No Hoodwink | 54c | 472.09$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.93 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked RE.Arise | 68c | 467.2$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.18 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No Hoodwink | 54c | 445.62$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.05 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8d1cbacked No Hoodwink | 53c | 442.44$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 438.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.11 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No Hoodwink | 11c | 430.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked RE.Arise | 43c | 427.71$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.83 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed RE.Arise | 35c | 427.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked No Hoodwink | 52c | 425$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…b29fbacked RE.Arise | 51c | 422.54$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed No Hoodwink | 54c | 415.88$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.58 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No Hoodwink | 54c | 406.85$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed RE.Arise | 43c | 403.16$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.8 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked No Hoodwink | 53c | 376.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed RE.Arise | 56c | 357.57$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked No Hoodwink | 77c | 343.74$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.08 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed RE.Arise | 44c | 321.82$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.53 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked RE.Arise | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.71 | 436 | 49.1%214 W · 222 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…3220backed No Hoodwink | 53c | 315.6$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed No Hoodwink | 53c | 307.21$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.82 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed RE.Arise | 37c | 295.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.16 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked RE.Arise | 46c | 283.8$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.03 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3a71backed RE.Arise | 46c | 282.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked RE.Arise | 27c | 275$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.25 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed RE.Arise | 30c | 272.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.2 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked RE.Arise | 41c | 268.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.43 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked RE.Arise | 46c | 260$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No Hoodwink | 61c | 259.26$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.49 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -15.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked No Hoodwink | 52c | 255.13$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.67 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…f2eabacked No Hoodwink | 53c | 244.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed RE.Arise | 42c | 231.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…4065backed No Hoodwink | 52c | 228.73$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.94 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink - Game 1 WinnerNo Hoodwink won
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink - Game 2 WinnerRE.Arise won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.