Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a7a3c334b27c71b40cd00d2d0e627ff5b08f406d65e6e472fe25270f5c2f29d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RE.Ariseof RE.Arise, No Hoodwink
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked No Hoodwink | 67c | 7,647$5,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,159.31 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed RE.Arise | 31c | 5,146$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.81 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed No Hoodwink | 43c | 3,000$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.99 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed No Hoodwink | 37c | 2,861$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.94 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked RE.Arise | 61c | 2,539$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.34 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed RE.Arise | 33c | 2,121$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.21 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed RE.Arise | 44c | 2,066$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.8 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked No Hoodwink | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.9 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed RE.Arise | 74c | 1,980$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.3 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked No Hoodwink | 75c | 1,793$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.56 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed RE.Arise | 50c | 1,390$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.91 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked No Hoodwink | 73c | 1,371$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed RE.Arise | 56c | 1,144$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.49 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked No Hoodwink | 69c | 1,074$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.7 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked RE.Arise | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed No Hoodwink | 23c | 799.98$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked RE.Arise | 31c | 739.79$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.46 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No Hoodwink | 17c | 648.29$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked RE.Arise | 62c | 528.19$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.71 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked RE.Arise | 32c | 505.18$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.23 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked RE.Arise | 39c | 498.57$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.37 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed RE.Arise | 39c | 491$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed RE.Arise | 33c | 474.03$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.6 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RE.Arise | 52c | 471.61$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.02 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed RE.Arise | 53c | 443.45$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.45 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RE.Arise | 27c | 423.12$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.34 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed No Hoodwink | 60c | 418.71$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.23 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RE.Arise | 44c | 376.86$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.41 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No Hoodwink | 68c | 359.09$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.18 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed No Hoodwink | 6c | 353.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RE.Arise | 37c | 349.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.33 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No Hoodwink | 53c | 304.04$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.14 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -13.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed RE.Arise | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed RE.Arise | 36c | 299.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.49 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked RE.Arise | 50c | 290.41$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked RE.Arise | 47c | 278.87$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.62 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0213…1573backed No Hoodwink | 64c | 266.65$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed No Hoodwink | 69c | 229.41$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed RE.Arise | 39c | 222$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked RE.Arise | 49c | 206.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed RE.Arise | 60c | 201.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed No Hoodwink | 59c | 200.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.01 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed No Hoodwink | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked RE.Arise | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed RE.Arise | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked RE.Arise | 41c | 197.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…95e2backed RE.Arise | 32c | 192.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…db1ebacked RE.Arise | 53c | 189.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked RE.Arise | 44c | 188.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked No Hoodwink | 64c | 185.65$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed RE.Arise | 39c | 185.58$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed RE.Arise | 72c | 175.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed RE.Arise | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed RE.Arise | 71c | 161.77$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked No Hoodwink | 70c | 154.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked No Hoodwink | 42c | 153.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed RE.Arise | 80c | 148.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed No Hoodwink | 24c | 137.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15ad…c744backed No Hoodwink | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed RE.Arise | 36c | 128.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked RE.Arise | 60c | 128.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed RE.Arise | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No Hoodwink | 48c | 121.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed RE.Arise | 64c | 120.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 235 | 62.1%146 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked RE.Arise | 42c | 105$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked No Hoodwink | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked RE.Arise | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked No Hoodwink | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked RE.Arise | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…fe0bbacked No Hoodwink | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked RE.Arise | 39c | 93.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…ad4cbacked No Hoodwink | 39c | 93.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked RE.Arise | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 128 | 60.9%78 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55b…b164backed RE.Arise | 60c | 86.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe717…0710backed No Hoodwink | 68c | 85.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…a7f7backed No Hoodwink | 66c | 85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed RE.Arise | 33c | 85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked RE.Arise | 51c | 82.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No Hoodwink | 17c | 80.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed No Hoodwink | 64c | 77.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed RE.Arise | 33c | 77.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…89ebbacked RE.Arise | 77c | 73.46$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No Hoodwink | 64c | 67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked RE.Arise | 40c | 61.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed RE.Arise | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed RE.Arise | 23c | 59.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed RE.Arise | 45c | 56.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed RE.Arise | 40c | 55.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed RE.Arise | 41c | 55.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No Hoodwink | 44c | 53.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…6c1dbacked No Hoodwink | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8804backed No Hoodwink | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked RE.Arise | 73c | 43.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…a3d5backed No Hoodwink | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…5fddbacked RE.Arise | 78c | 40.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked RE.Arise | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed No Hoodwink | 68c | 37.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed RE.Arise | 32c | 35.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed RE.Arise | 75c | 34.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed RE.Arise | 58c | 34.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - EPL Masters Group BRE.Arise won
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink - Game 1 WinnerNo Hoodwink won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.