Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41163ad0e35cb4e569d140e8a417eea0866ae1d19de1148df1173e2bb20f7cb8

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Karmine Corp GCof Gentle Mates GC, Karmine Corp GC
Resolved: Aug 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $34,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,159 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb209…b744backed Gentle Mates GC	1c	8,450$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.83	75	33.3%25 W · 50 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Karmine Corp GC	63c	2,224$1,394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$829.9	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Gentle Mates GC	44c	1,601$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.85	109	46.8%51 W · 58 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+15%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed Karmine Corp GC	56c	1,386$782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.81	34	85.3%29 W · 5 L	+10.4wins	+0.30per pick	55cpaid	+52.3%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Gentle Mates GC	53c	1,192$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.94	223	44.4%99 W · 124 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Gentle Mates GC	59c	887.46$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.46	396	46%182 W · 214 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Karmine Corp GC	27c	842.65$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.24	154	31.2%48 W · 106 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Gentle Mates GC	3c	710$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.93	664	38.1%253 W · 411 L	-31.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Gentle Mates GC	49c	691.01$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.24	151	47%71 W · 80 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Karmine Corp GC	32c	602.23$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.42	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Gentle Mates GC	27c	559.42$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.38	930	49.4%459 W · 471 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a9a…a9c7backed Karmine Corp GC	54c	471.26$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.59	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp GC	30c	421.42$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.76	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed Karmine Corp GC	31c	343.66$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.63	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad1…b4c5backed Karmine Corp GC	53c	333.21$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.02	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed Gentle Mates GC	65c	303.93$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	77	49.4%38 W · 39 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x845d…aef6backed Karmine Corp GC	17c	282.69$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.12	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Karmine Corp GC	65c	272.32$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.44	962	45.1%434 W · 528 L	-18.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d10…5990backed Gentle Mates GC	36c	271$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.82	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb908…6175backed Gentle Mates GC	8c	262$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Gentle Mates GC	28c	244.4$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.86	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+20%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacf2…d024backed Karmine Corp GC	17c	240.26$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.53	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Karmine Corp GC	72c	221.34$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.03	509	44.6%227 W · 282 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Karmine Corp GC	61c	214.03$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.9	312	27.6%86 W · 226 L	-33.9wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp GC	52c	211.02$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.38	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4926…a3bfbacked Gentle Mates GC	63c	184.47$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.22	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.14per pick	60cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Karmine Corp GC	55c	174.4$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.09	746	42.8%319 W · 427 L	-27.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked Karmine Corp GC	68c	165.02$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.39	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed Gentle Mates GC	43c	154$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.53	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates GC	44c	151.01$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.75	811	34.9%283 W · 528 L	-60.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Karmine Corp GC	51c	147$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.56	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Karmine Corp GC	54c	130.09$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.76	279	56.6%158 W · 121 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Gentle Mates GC	57c	127.17$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.34	287	43.2%124 W · 163 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…b79cbacked Karmine Corp GC	38c	119.43$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.43	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Karmine Corp GC	17c	117.65$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.65	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked Karmine Corp GC	64c	115.77$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.74	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Karmine Corp GC	50c	111.72$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.44	145	52.4%76 W · 69 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Gentle Mates GC	58c	111$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.54	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9133…20acbacked Karmine Corp GC	49c	101.6$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.6	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-4.7wins	-0.24per pick	54cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Gentle Mates GC	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…da03backed Gentle Mates GC	70c	99.08$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.21	117	38.5%45 W · 72 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Gentle Mates GC	30c	97.49$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.42	697	22.8%159 W · 538 L	-94.4wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7238…64ebbacked Karmine Corp GC	37c	95$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Karmine Corp GC	44c	93.85$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.56	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Karmine Corp GC	60c	91.98$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.85	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+17.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Karmine Corp GC	47c	90$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.7	142	54.9%78 W · 64 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Gentle Mates GC	44c	88$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.7	143	45.5%65 W · 78 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Karmine Corp GC	53c	87.53$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.95	907	33.1%300 W · 607 L	-89.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Karmine Corp GC	13c	83.93$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.02	634	47.9%304 W · 330 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Karmine Corp GC	69c	80$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.79	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Karmine Corp GC	35c	77.18$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.17	517	49.5%256 W · 261 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd4d…60f8backed Karmine Corp GC	16c	74.49$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.78	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.40per pick	35cpaid	+164.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc62f…2958backed Karmine Corp GC	79c	63.32$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.3	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Karmine Corp GC	59c	61.5$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.15	70	52.9%37 W · 33 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f4…9626backed Gentle Mates GC	37c	60.73$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.39	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.19per pick	50cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4738…e64abacked Gentle Mates GC	36c	60.59$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.04	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x061a…5a89backed Gentle Mates GC	53c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.8wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Gentle Mates GC	43c	57.54$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	186	47.8%89 W · 97 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Gentle Mates GC	71c	56.71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffb3…fc52backed Gentle Mates GC	47c	56.03$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.34	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3211…9ee3backed Gentle Mates GC	46c	54.01$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.74	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-7.9wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4ea9…9248backed Gentle Mates GC	56c	53.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	111	59.5%66 W · 45 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e5b…fc11backed Karmine Corp GC	41c	53.14$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.59	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa65e…81d4backed Karmine Corp GC	39c	50.69$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.69	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16c…c9d9backed Gentle Mates GC	45c	49.02$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-60%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Karmine Corp GC	48c	45.81$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.97	700	43.7%306 W · 394 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdce3…7537backed Karmine Corp GC	60c	45.58$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.23	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f4…12dabacked Karmine Corp GC	78c	41.85$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.16	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	67cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Karmine Corp GC	58c	37.58$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.79	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde55…1d2abacked Gentle Mates GC	80c	37.03$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.62	54	66.7%36 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb4…f81abacked Gentle Mates GC	32c	36.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Gentle Mates GC	70c	36.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.48	628	56.4%354 W · 274 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b7…5f6bbacked Gentle Mates GC	34c	35.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	100	61%61 W · 39 L	+9.6wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34fe…a931backed Karmine Corp GC	77c	32.21$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.56	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Gentle Mates GC	64c	31.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	273	60.1%164 W · 109 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Karmine Corp GC	49c	31$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.81	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Karmine Corp GC	79c	30.6$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.34	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Karmine Corp GC	53c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.85	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Karmine Corp GC	45c	24.81$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.73	543	42.4%230 W · 313 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x896a…cec5backed Gentle Mates GC	75c	18$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.75per pick	75cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 1 WinnerKarmine Corp GC won
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates GC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event