Lol · resolved market
LoL: Myth Esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18cef53c261b9bb2e07dec9b1fc296c83a30524c4f9babc342124d8d942dc706
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senshi Esports Clubof Myth Esports, Senshi Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Myth Esports | 4c | 633.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Myth Esports | 53c | 490.27$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.32 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Myth Esports | 15c | 377.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed Senshi Esports Club | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…b7a7backed Senshi Esports Club | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Senshi Esports Club | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Senshi Esports Club | 60c | 166.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Myth Esports | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Myth Esports | 17c | 95.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Myth Esports | 15c | 94.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e9…39a0backed Senshi Esports Club | 47c | 85.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Myth Esports | 36c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Senshi Esports Club | 80c | 59.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed Myth Esports | 31c | 54.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…64ebbacked Senshi Esports Club | 77c | 40.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Senshi Esports Club | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Senshi Esports Club | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Myth Esports | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.