Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60582328e1dbd41800b0c8415fe92aacaa235c46544445e0d4ad7cfbe05fee7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Habos Babosof FOKUS Sakura, Habos Babos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FOKUS Sakura | 66c | 6,000$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.25 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Habos Babos | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Habos Babos | 36c | 1,746$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.2 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Habos Babos | 33c | 1,485$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.08 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed FOKUS Sakura | 57c | 1,281$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.99 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FOKUS Sakura | 64c | 1,087$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.77 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Habos Babos | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed FOKUS Sakura | 65c | 815.09$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.46 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Habos Babos | 35c | 453.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.57 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Habos Babos | 38c | 406.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.59 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed FOKUS Sakura | 62c | 402$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Habos Babos | 40c | 357.42$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.74 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Habos Babos | 35c | 356$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Habos Babos | 34c | 322.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed FOKUS Sakura | 60c | 308.69$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.12 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked FOKUS Sakura | 63c | 265$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.95 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Habos Babos | 50c | 250$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Habos Babos | 36c | 246.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Habos Babos | 35c | 208.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Habos Babos | 51c | 169.08$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 34 | 85.3%29 W · 5 L | +10.4wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked Habos Babos | 53c | 163.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FOKUS Sakura | 53c | 150.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Habos Babos | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…64ebbacked Habos Babos | 47c | 149.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Habos Babos | 35c | 142$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed FOKUS Sakura | 71c | 141.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Habos Babos | 52c | 129.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked FOKUS Sakura | 59c | 128.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Habos Babos | 36c | 124.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Habos Babos | 36c | 119.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Habos Babos | 35c | 114.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FOKUS Sakura | 46c | 110.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Habos Babos | 41c | 104.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…823fbacked Habos Babos | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed FOKUS Sakura | 64c | 99.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Habos Babos | 35c | 95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…3df7backed Habos Babos | 49c | 88.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Habos Babos | 37c | 85.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4806backed FOKUS Sakura | 65c | 84.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Habos Babos | 35c | 83.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed FOKUS Sakura | 54c | 81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Habos Babos | 50c | 76.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Habos Babos | 51c | 76.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked FOKUS Sakura | 65c | 73.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Habos Babos | 37c | 72.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…fc52backed FOKUS Sakura | 47c | 67.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Habos Babos | 36c | 65.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…2958backed FOKUS Sakura | 76c | 65.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Habos Babos | 39c | 65.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked FOKUS Sakura | 68c | 62.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed FOKUS Sakura | 64c | 60.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Habos Babos | 38c | 60.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 65c | 58.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Habos Babos | 34c | 55.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Habos Babos | 36c | 53.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…0ea2backed FOKUS Sakura | 54c | 52.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Habos Babos | 35c | 51.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed FOKUS Sakura | 39c | 50.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…300dbacked Habos Babos | 52c | 43.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Habos Babos | 40c | 40.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Habos Babos | 43c | 40.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Habos Babos | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Habos Babos | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked FOKUS Sakura | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…6c8bbacked Habos Babos | 63c | 36.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Habos Babos | 35c | 34.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked Habos Babos | 59c | 33.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Habos Babos | 50c | 33.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Habos Babos | 36c | 30.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Habos Babos | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fed…dc6ebacked FOKUS Sakura | 61c | 27.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FOKUS Sakura | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…0299backed Habos Babos | 50c | 24.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FOKUS Sakura | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…5d02backed FOKUS Sakura | 67c | 22.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed FOKUS Sakura | 64c | 19.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs Habos Babos - Map 1 WinnerHabos Babos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.