TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andre Ilagan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Andre Ilaganof Spencer Johnson, Andre Ilagan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,332 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Spencer Johnson16c31,505$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00074439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spencer Johnson45c6,551$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.2911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Andre Ilagan68c6,472$4,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.034,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…20c0backed Andre Ilagan65c3,836$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.559053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Andre Ilagan39c2,600$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.9239243.4%170 W · 222 L+21.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa65…b0bbbacked Spencer Johnson15c1,949$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007739%30 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Andre Ilagan53c1,893$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.4194068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Andre Ilagan74c1,886$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.488,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Andre Ilagan40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90070041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Andre Ilagan79c1,285$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.284,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7596…f13abacked Andre Ilagan43c1,279$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.079340.9%38 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andre Ilagan66c1,245$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.148,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…4c29backed Spencer Johnson11c999.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108326.5%22 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbea4…fac9backed Andre Ilagan36c983.33$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.33785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spencer Johnson60c914.67$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.81,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Spencer Johnson61c776.98$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.9634655.2%191 W · 155 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa102…6b5bbacked Andre Ilagan43c750$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.57550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Spencer Johnson39c735.54$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.993,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a34…51fabacked Spencer Johnson14c695.09$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9622020%44 W · 176 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Andre Ilagan39c669.34$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.333438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c1e…6f67backed Andre Ilagan41c634.15$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.151747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick25cpaid+83.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Andre Ilagan64c566$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.131,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Spencer Johnson61c499.99$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30553644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Andre Ilagan46c499.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.995259.6%31 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d42…43ebbacked Spencer Johnson11c499.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.19333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Andre Ilagan42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1987337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Spencer Johnson61c459.01$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Andre Ilagan50c450$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22535450.8%180 W · 174 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Andre Ilagan40c369.82$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8943743.7%191 W · 246 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Andre Ilagan36c369.44$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.441,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Spencer Johnson38c358.88$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13512947.3%61 W · 68 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Spencer Johnson59c341.46$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.833,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Spencer Johnson15c339.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5048214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spencer Johnson60c335.33$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.21,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Andre Ilagan42c333.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.713653.7%73 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Spencer Johnson61c286.89$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17591754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Spencer Johnson63c279.15$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.061,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Spencer Johnson60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010252%53 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb2…ee14backed Spencer Johnson57c240.64$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.558356.6%47 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0368…9874backed Andre Ilagan44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Spencer Johnson7c215.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.584,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Spencer Johnson24c214.38$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.344,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cdd…db30backed Andre Ilagan43c203.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3318724.6%46 W · 141 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Andre Ilagan42c202.95$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.641,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Spencer Johnson59c202.4$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.371,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Andre Ilagan56c191.36$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.439759.4%236 W · 161 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e54…e773backed Spencer Johnson61c161.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.396952.2%36 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0f79backed Spencer Johnson61c161.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3913337.6%50 W · 83 L-17.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xad5c…17eebacked Spencer Johnson61c161.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.392748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeab2…b0efbacked Spencer Johnson8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick17cpaid-91.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spencer Johnson22c145.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.792,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Andre Ilagan79c127.77$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.26,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Andre Ilagan59c127.66$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0988358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Spencer Johnson20c118.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2443618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Andre Ilagan37c105.06$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.061,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Spencer Johnson10c105$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.49737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Andre Ilagan39c103$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.837,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Spencer Johnson60c101.03$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6211646.6%54 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Spencer Johnson61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Andre Ilagan40c98.69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2710543.8%46 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Andre Ilagan39c98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5569047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Spencer Johnson35c97.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.731,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d2c…00b5backed Andre Ilagan69c95.89$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.595358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab3a…0e2dbacked Spencer Johnson50c95.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x538d…55afbacked Spencer Johnson15c91.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147729.9%23 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Andre Ilagan37c90.18$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6499056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Spencer Johnson35c86.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2754141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Spencer Johnson49c84$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.162,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa3…ac0fbacked Spencer Johnson57c83.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.52650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Spencer Johnson50c80.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3872147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f0…285fbacked Spencer Johnson36c80.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.914055%22 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spencer Johnson15c78.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.777,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Spencer Johnson16c74.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6630931.1%96 W · 213 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Spencer Johnson36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.27548%36 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Andre Ilagan38c69.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.772,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Andre Ilagan39c68.64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.879,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Spencer Johnson60c67.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2970537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Andre Ilagan45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Spencer Johnson54c65.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2676355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef1b…764fbacked Andre Ilagan40c64.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.638338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Spencer Johnson41c57.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.551942.6%221 W · 298 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Andre Ilagan40c57.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2616856%94 W · 74 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Spencer Johnson19c55.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2160452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Spencer Johnson28c54.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.376,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7238…64ebbacked Spencer Johnson26c50.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Andre Ilagan50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2594447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Andre Ilagan39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.511839%46 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Spencer Johnson33c44.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.851,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d3…77a0backed Andre Ilagan49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.826275.8%47 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Andre Ilagan69c40.39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7223954.8%131 W · 108 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Andre Ilagan47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.162339.1%9 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+3.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec17…0af9backed Andre Ilagan40c37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.212839.1%50 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b3…e104backed Andre Ilagan40c37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.211837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Andre Ilagan42c35.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8319347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed Andre Ilagan59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.933550.7%170 W · 165 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Spencer Johnson39c33.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9646851.5%241 W · 227 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Spencer Johnson51c32.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.71,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Spencer Johnson60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x453d…2dbabacked Spencer Johnson66c29.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.662839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68af…2639backed Spencer Johnson55c29.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28859.1%52 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.