Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56debd50a0bfa4161c18896bd099d4b040ad42e49f6891321ed869f70c8d4940

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Lynxof PuckChamp, Team Lynx
Resolved: Aug 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $34,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,274 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd06c…cdafbacked PuckChamp	48c	5,645$2,713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,712.69	1,186	43.2%512 W · 674 L	+42.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Lynx	53c	4,518$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,118.45	534	51.7%276 W · 258 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Team Lynx	47c	2,517$1,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,337.02	480	57.1%274 W · 206 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Lynx	55c	1,837$1,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$827.93	798	59%471 W · 327 L	+16.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed PuckChamp	1c	1,436$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	332	3%10 W · 322 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked PuckChamp	55c	1,294$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$709.8	406	44.6%181 W · 225 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked PuckChamp	55c	1,078$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.59	127	64.6%82 W · 45 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	70cpaid	-8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed PuckChamp	53c	1,000$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Team Lynx	52c	946.98$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452	327	56.9%186 W · 141 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebb9…1d15backed PuckChamp	58c	863.36$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	95	35.8%34 W · 61 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdccd…f41abacked Team Lynx	48c	801.48$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.85	122	52.5%64 W · 58 L	+17.2wins	+0.14per pick	38cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed PuckChamp	60c	768.47$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	150	50.7%76 W · 74 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed PuckChamp	5c	718.71$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.49	785	16.6%130 W · 655 L	-135.4wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PuckChamp	36c	663.08$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.49	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked Team Lynx	45c	501.98$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.32	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed PuckChamp	45c	500.14$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.12	195	47.2%92 W · 103 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed PuckChamp	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	437	38.4%168 W · 269 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed Team Lynx	46c	420.72$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.19	318	65.1%207 W · 111 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked PuckChamp	47c	399.81$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.65	899	38%342 W · 557 L	-45.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed PuckChamp	27c	346.27$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.72	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed PuckChamp	56c	311.7$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.28	568	48.8%277 W · 291 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed PuckChamp	22c	236.42$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.26	191	35.6%68 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed PuckChamp	40c	234.38$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.55	277	37.2%103 W · 174 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Lynx	49c	202.45$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.53	1,458	48.5%707 W · 751 L	+27.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed PuckChamp	31c	180.95$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.68	416	32.7%136 W · 280 L	-37.8wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Lynx	53c	168$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.43	1,120	36.1%404 W · 716 L	-39.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed PuckChamp	56c	160.91$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	372	53%197 W · 175 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28f5…2035backed Team Lynx	70c	150$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	332	65.4%217 W · 115 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed PuckChamp	54c	148.7$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	121	50.4%61 W · 60 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5d9…b188backed Team Lynx	64c	143.11$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.93	98	55.1%54 W · 44 L	+7.5wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x328e…4393backed PuckChamp	51c	136.11$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Lynx	67c	115.81$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.17	426	39.4%168 W · 258 L	-39.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked Team Lynx	45c	111.11$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.11	338	54.1%183 W · 155 L	+11.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71e7…1082backed PuckChamp	52c	110.9$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.37	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked PuckChamp	56c	109.96$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.53	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Lynx	70c	108.01$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.92	892	38.1%340 W · 552 L	-42.7wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked PuckChamp	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	421	46.6%196 W · 225 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94e8…f707backed PuckChamp	56c	98.24$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Team Lynx	49c	91.83$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.88	340	45.9%156 W · 184 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed PuckChamp	44c	88.55$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.95	213	44.1%94 W · 119 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff77…b6b4backed PuckChamp	57c	88.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.19	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x015f…d051backed Team Lynx	48c	86.54$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.30per pick	44cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Team Lynx	65c	83.6$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.53	683	45.8%313 W · 370 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x242c…ddd2backed PuckChamp	33c	80.24$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.85	214	47.2%101 W · 113 L	+16.7wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee59…e42abacked Team Lynx	40c	75$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	288	46.9%135 W · 153 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…ef1cbacked Team Lynx	35c	71.41$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.42	227	40.5%92 W · 135 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf3…ae14backed Team Lynx	74c	67.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.57	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Team Lynx	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	187	33.2%62 W · 125 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd181…6a2bbacked PuckChamp	61c	54.7$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.37	176	60.2%106 W · 70 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked PuckChamp	49c	50.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.98	953	42.2%402 W · 551 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Team Lynx	63c	49.75$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.63	535	38.5%206 W · 329 L	-26.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked PuckChamp	37c	39.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.89	186	52.2%97 W · 89 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7560…1ee1backed Team Lynx	30c	36.66$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.66	211	33.6%71 W · 140 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Lynx	47c	31.96$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	793	41.7%331 W · 462 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…1bfebacked PuckChamp	33c	30.72$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	123	57.7%71 W · 52 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Team Lynx	62c	30.25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.45	286	50%143 W · 143 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Team Lynx	49c	28.93$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.68	252	66.3%167 W · 85 L	+20.5wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf948…0c53backed PuckChamp	54c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	68cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…50d4backed Team Lynx	54c	24.34$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.24	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+5.2wins	+0.22per pick	24cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe40f…5f56backed PuckChamp	59c	23.11$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.57	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.7wins	-0.30per pick	63cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship PlayoffsTeam Lynx won
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerPuckChamp won
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event