MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ed493a85ed6aa64f75710c353e2df915dcabee09367cd009ef8fef596c1ac8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof SSG Landers, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked SSG Landers | 66c | 7,240$4,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.55 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed LG Twins | 33c | 3,952$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.19 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LG Twins | 51c | 3,805$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.01 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SSG Landers | 37c | 2,479$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.85 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked LG Twins | 63c | 1,774$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.62 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed LG Twins | 31c | 1,376$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 69c | 1,230$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.63 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed LG Twins | 33c | 1,051$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed SSG Landers | 65c | 788$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.9 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…7ba3backed LG Twins | 18c | 666.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked SSG Landers | 59c | 569$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.16 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed LG Twins | 62c | 505.07$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.14 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked SSG Landers | 70c | 373.74$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.25 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed SSG Landers | 52c | 343.62$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.55 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SSG Landers | 47c | 237.15$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.23 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed LG Twins | 63c | 236.87$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SSG Landers | 62c | 205.11$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked LG Twins | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed SSG Landers | 60c | 168.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 53c | 153.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 49c | 149.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed SSG Landers | 35c | 148.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed SSG Landers | 78c | 127$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SSG Landers | 67c | 121.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SSG Landers | 37c | 106.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed LG Twins | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed LG Twins | 65c | 98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed SSG Landers | 56c | 96.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked SSG Landers | 53c | 96.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed LG Twins | 64c | 95.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed LG Twins | 17c | 90.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed SSG Landers | 65c | 75.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed LG Twins | 30c | 73.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed SSG Landers | 39c | 73.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed SSG Landers | 66c | 71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 362 | 68%246 W · 116 L | +34.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked LG Twins | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed LG Twins | 41c | 68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…96b8backed LG Twins | 61c | 65.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked SSG Landers | 66c | 62.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked SSG Landers | 67c | 62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed SSG Landers | 52c | 55.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed SSG Landers | 38c | 54.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed SSG Landers | 59c | 50.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed LG Twins | 32c | 48.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked LG Twins | 62c | 45.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 35c | 44.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed SSG Landers | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed LG Twins | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9960…a699backed LG Twins | 47c | 28.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed LG Twins | 62c | 26.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed SSG Landers | 66c | 25.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…2ffabacked LG Twins | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f028backed SSG Landers | 65c | 21.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…feb1backed LG Twins | 62c | 20.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…b515backed LG Twins | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…1909backed SSG Landers | 66c | 18.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked SSG Landers | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.