Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3134c729243928958c193f5695b24aa9cf689e920f39302656da84ea3840bc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 77c | 7,540$5,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.59 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 37c | 3,197$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.43 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 36c | 2,513$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.38 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 2,357$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 35c | 2,097$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.8 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 38c | 1,626$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.12 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 1,521$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.33 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 19c | 1,482$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.31 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 76c | 1,419$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.83 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…e424backed Under | 21c | 903.49$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 888.34$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.13 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Under | 15c | 646.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 62c | 503.05$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 62c | 499.6$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.75 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 64c | 388.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.28 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +8.9wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Over | 38c | 330.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 38c | 300.59$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 64c | 284.08$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 33c | 226.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 70c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 68c | 143.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…9ddcbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 74c | 125$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 75c | 115.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 49c | 82.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Under | 15c | 77.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…e2d0backed Over | 64c | 73.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…f016backed Over | 66c | 57.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…5e22backed Over | 38c | 48.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Over | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 62c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 38c | 40.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 52c | 38.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 42c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 42c | 31.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 64c | 23.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd60…c454backed Under | 58c | 22.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f028backed Over | 75c | 18.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Sporting CP 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Sporting CP O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Sporting CP O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Sporting CP O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Vitória SC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Vitória SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Vitória SC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Vitória SC won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Vitória SC won
- Spread: Vitória SC (-1.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.