Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x424110993a6aa83f83a31c144ad9106a4cb38b9e80ceaca9a6cd9f70b3f6795b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 5c | 9,967$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.55 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 7,048$4,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.78 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 29c | 2,818$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.51 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 3c | 2,075$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 38c | 1,601$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.43 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 38c | 1,115$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.62 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 39c | 879$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.81 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Over | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 761.29$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 690.23$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.19 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 39c | 492.49$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…413fbacked Over | 61c | 327.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 39c | 293.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 286.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 72c | 281.14$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 39c | 197.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 162$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 39c | 121.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 61c | 99.15$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 95.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 39c | 90.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 14c | 87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 72c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 62c | 48.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…8ae0backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 76cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 62c | 23.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Sporting CP 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Sporting CP O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Sporting CP O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Sporting CP O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Vitória SC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Vitória SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Vitória SC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Vitória SC won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Vitória SC won
- Spread: Vitória SC (-1.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.