Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27d4565178c430f220cf398ffe4942d2e7bc17feb5c9a40b58654f8c54e7f0dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 5,544$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 44c | 4,000$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.56 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 22c | 3,751$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 73c | 3,744$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.15 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…d2a3backed Over | 36c | 3,723$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 58c | 2,169$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.66 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 54c | 2,037$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 1,781$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.78 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 49c | 1,715$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.65 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Under | 72c | 1,713$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 47c | 1,370$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Over | 19c | 1,235$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 73c | 1,066$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.73 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 870.3$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.63 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 48c | 500.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.47 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 74c | 470.07$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…6674backed Over | 60c | 416.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45bb…4927backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 74c | 320$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Under | 48c | 208.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 28c | 198.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3381…4c3cbacked Over | 51c | 195.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…c8e9backed Under | 56c | 195$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 50c | 180$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 45c | 171.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…8fdfbacked Over | 57c | 170.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 58c | 169.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 35c | 162.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 158.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 55c | 134.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 58c | 120.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over | 26c | 114.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…612bbacked Under | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 26c | 99.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under | 54c | 88.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 77c | 81.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc628…c3f0backed Under | 61c | 78.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 63c | 78.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…5976backed Over | 20c | 68.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 57c | 66.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 20c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Over | 40c | 61.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Under | 38c | 61.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 44c | 57.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 32c | 55.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 62c | 54.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 46c | 48.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 61c | 44.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 66c | 38.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 78c | 37.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 39c | 34.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51d…1578backed Over | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7161backed Over | 58c | 30.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 37c | 27.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 58c | 27.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 58c | 27.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 57c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Under | 49c | 23.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5881…ca26backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 58c | 17.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 5.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Sporting CP 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Sporting CP O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Sporting CP O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Sporting CP O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Vitória SC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Vitória SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: Vitória SC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Vitória SC won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Vitória SC won
- Spread: Vitória SC (-1.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.