Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaba6c702f9b2ab308be546d21d7ad3919f7b25d3714b192ffd9dbf5e4d45f6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 50c | 6,911$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.59 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 4,340$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.88 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 3,316$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.35 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 56c | 2,212$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.37 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 32c | 1,578$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.18 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 18c | 1,544$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.32 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 4c | 1,335$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 8c | 1,269$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.48 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 6c | 1,170$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.29 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +106%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 8c | 1,124$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.64 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 49c | 996.21$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.88 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 37c | 803.1$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.69 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…4938backed Under | 77c | 691.6$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 75c | 627.66$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.88 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 23c | 626.52$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 47c | 532.44$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.5 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3440…6748backed Over | 54c | 332$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 330$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.67 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 28c | 314.6$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 69c | 313.27$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 4c | 296.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.06 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 11c | 227.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.22 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 50c | 209.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.63 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Over | 12c | 157.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Under | 77c | 155.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Under | 52c | 154.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 13c | 151.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 36c | 149.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 45c | 143.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over | 49c | 121.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 116.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 66c | 108.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…cf22backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 27c | 86.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 51c | 84.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 35c | 74.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 69c | 73.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 41c | 63.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…82aabacked Under | 35c | 57.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…b154backed Under | 63c | 48.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…1cb2backed Over | 62c | 47.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 69c | 45.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Over | 51c | 38.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Over | 34c | 37.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb710…0751backed Over | 66c | 37.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…c645backed Under | 54c | 35.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 56c | 34.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 36c | 34.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 49c | 31.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…1909backed Over | 50c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…e5abbacked Over | 43c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f028backed Over | 49c | 24.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d8…b61fbacked Under | 78c | 17.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…4be1backed Over | 69c | 14.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.