TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Wuhan San Zhen FCof Shanghai Haigang FC, Wuhan San Zhen FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,055
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,055 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Wuhan San Zhen FC38c2,663$1,012 inWon+$1,650.955,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Shanghai Haigang FC75c1,481$1,106 inLost-$1,106.262,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Wuhan San Zhen FC44c667.83$297 inWon+$371.121,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Shanghai Haigang FC22c613.63$135 inLost-$134.823756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shanghai Haigang FC45c479.01$216 inLost-$216.4870842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Shanghai Haigang FC25c393.33$98 inLost-$98.3312242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Shanghai Haigang FC72c365$262 inLost-$26292835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Shanghai Haigang FC25c300$75 inLost-$7535751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Shanghai Haigang FC22c225.86$50 inLost-$50.1153946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7208…0f10backed Wuhan San Zhen FC60c201.4$120 inWon+$81.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+69%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Wuhan San Zhen FC24c103.25$25 inWon+$78.472,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Shanghai Haigang FC29c98.55$29 inLost-$28.58837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93dd…c649backed Shanghai Haigang FC24c75$18 inLost-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Shanghai Haigang FC23c69$16 inLost-$15.8713644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Wuhan San Zhen FC26c65.14$17 inWon+$48.29545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Shanghai Haigang FC75c60$45 inLost-$4511839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Wuhan San Zhen FC26c49.95$13 inWon+$36.9625155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Wuhan San Zhen FC26c49.94$13 inWon+$36.9637153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f41…ba79backed Wuhan San Zhen FC77c40$31 inWon+$9.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…080fbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC77c36$28 inWon+$8.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Wuhan San Zhen FC65c28.55$19 inWon+$9.9131960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed Wuhan San Zhen FC78c20$16 inWon+$4.43969.2%27 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.