Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aada892c37e7c4a306c2c93dc0d9cef9f1f82df4fbb54f8a10e5858b0cf931a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 1,982$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.32 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 35c | 1,823$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.78 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 32c | 321.87$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 219.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 34c | 146.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 28c | 99.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 72c | 74.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 35c | 59.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 62c | 41.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 35c | 35.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 35c | 35.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 62c | 35.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…b0c4backed Yes | 79c | 34.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 64c | 34.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 67c | 28.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 67c | 28.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Yes | 72c | 27.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 64c | 24.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 64c | 24.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 68c | 18.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 67c | 16.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.