TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,115 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under28c12,445$3,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,467.0312939.5%51 W · 78 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over63c6,879$4,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,564.123363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over79c2,777$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.832,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over70c2,393$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.11683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under29c2,250$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.152,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over69c1,507$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.1822949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under20c1,421$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8713148.1%63 W · 68 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c1,330$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.735,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over78c868$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9690544.9%406 W · 499 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under31c793.05$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.666541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over58c784.03$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.291553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under38c650.87$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.731,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb23c…61a7backed Over62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over73c496.76$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9372342%304 W · 419 L-29.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Over68c434.82$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.446663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over72c345.14$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.641580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over71c332.33$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.521,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under37c271$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2713644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under34c238.85$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.019639.6%38 W · 58 L-10.1wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under43c205$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.156339.7%25 W · 38 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa560…767dbacked Under39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Over62c160.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.84355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under28c136.2$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3826136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over63c131.54$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6714144%62 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under37c130$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.920838.9%81 W · 127 L-14.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9786…7f05backed Over63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.052142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over77c111.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8537759.4%224 W · 153 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over70c93.24$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9722653.5%121 W · 105 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under38c92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.961,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2a…a65abacked Over55c74.84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d39…ba51backed Over80c73.66$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under40c69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7819354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under38c63.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0676239.2%299 W · 463 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b11…7621backed Under36c62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over80c61.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe325…34d0backed Under38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Over79c51.84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.848265.9%54 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under45c48.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Over63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.625637.5%21 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2058…7a4dbacked Over66c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d69…7018backed Under34c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc0…da4cbacked Over72c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5de…c3c2backed Under28c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b3…5bafbacked Under30c44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fc4…2c63backed Over70c44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Under23c43.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104052.5%21 W · 19 L+8.5wins+0.21per pick31cpaid+106.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206454.7%35 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5396…88a9backed Under33c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x349a…e723backed Under32c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb35…be81backed Over67c42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ad8ebacked Over71c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe49…920bbacked Under29c42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43fa…6b30backed Over68c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc1…5121backed Under32c41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb3b…65debacked Under34c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93d7…c697backed Over68c41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bcd…76bbbacked Over66c41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e2…4932backed Under30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc020…fc93backed Over70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under40c39.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9325155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe52c…9d37backed Under40c37.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b93…f597backed Over69c37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…53f5backed Under28c37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a9d…9a50backed Under31c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa06d…a949backed Over72c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under40c36.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7937153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f63…61e5backed Over65c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfef…39f5backed Over73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffb5…8387backed Under35c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70cb…40adbacked Under29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d453backed Over71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked Under40c34.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.521625%4 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde6e…0f2ebacked Under33c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce5…6e2fbacked Over73c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf223…86acbacked Over67c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d79…fd2abacked Over69c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe836…44aebacked Under31c33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b5…f7c3backed Over64c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under38c31.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128859.1%52 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2554746.8%256 W · 291 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51,35745.5%617 W · 740 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…4f99backed Over64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea70…19b2backed Over75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6c…116fbacked Under38c29.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over79c29.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.196846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over78c28.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2916659.6%99 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Over79c24.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.076460.9%39 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under46c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.588347%39 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a8…0ab6backed Over73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over63c16.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.151,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.