Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x492a17f74b1db85ce5e492f035ef0234fd7089cd27bc958c0dd5d5da5bf552b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 4c | 13,284$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.69 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 41c | 3,033$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.75 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 6c | 2,464$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.36 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 2c | 1,600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +106%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,486$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.52 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 38c | 1,307$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.74 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 34c | 1,164$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.72 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 60c | 1,043$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.35 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 973.1$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.04 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 4c | 833.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 3c | 818.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Under | 69c | 796.25$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 46c | 787.99$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.51 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 55c | 504.88$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.82 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 59c | 451.97$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.66 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 53c | 377.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 59c | 375.69$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.66 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 54c | 258.69$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.51 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 9c | 231.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 59c | 215$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 40c | 172.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 59c | 149.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 68c | 148.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 29c | 96.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 91.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…b046backed Under | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 77c | 89.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 73c | 56.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 57c | 52.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 59c | 49.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 52c | 42.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 48c | 41.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 29c | 38.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 40c | 32.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…fbe1backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…1909backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…e5abbacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…116fbacked Under | 61c | 18.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.