Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x907e5988e15eafc1b9e303f4efb74c3daf571cc17a739ce053d6b7de2bae73e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 14,078$4,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,464.71 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 33c | 13,320$4,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,460.79 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 7c | 6,828$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.16 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 14c | 4,899$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.75 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 57c | 4,308$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.71 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 76c | 3,096$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 39c | 2,026$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.63 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 62c | 1,463$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.1 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 1,460$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.64 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Over | 73c | 1,192$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 7c | 1,071$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 19c | 1,020$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.94 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 6c | 951.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 74c | 712$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.78 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…6044backed Under | 38c | 650$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…96c6backed Under | 64c | 470$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 68c | 469.52$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.41 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 71c | 436.03$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.58 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 23c | 412.69$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.2 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 73c | 344.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 33c | 269.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 76c | 220.24$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.55 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 71c | 201.56$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 29c | 185.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 31c | 157.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.11 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 66c | 150.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 9c | 132.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…b154backed Under | 17c | 123.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 36c | 118.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…c51fbacked Over | 21c | 109.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 76c | 105.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Over | 39c | 92.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 28c | 86.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 47c | 77.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 40c | 69.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 45c | 68.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over | 77c | 67.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 72c | 66.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +106%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 22c | 64.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 23c | 64.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 68c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 43c | 57.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 77c | 48.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Over | 59c | 47.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 71c | 34.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 68c | 34.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…1cb2backed Over | 76c | 33.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb710…0751backed Over | 76c | 32.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5397…ae53backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 78c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 55c | 21.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 65c | 20.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Under | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…4be1backed Over | 66c | 15.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…1909backed Over | 68c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.