Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffd25151cc00b568fbc9aed660794f142847a5865e46d4b46f488a0ecada9767
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 28c | 10,000$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,211.81 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 28c | 3,072$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.04 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 61c | 3,050$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.53 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 47c | 1,968$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.38 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 1,609$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.48 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.2 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 1,355$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.48 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 75c | 1,288$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.77 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 1,012$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.79 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 970.28$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.6 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 42c | 855.62$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.17 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 20c | 681$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 656.81$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 72c | 551.74$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.25 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 544.27$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.87 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 72c | 512$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.64 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 500.05$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.4 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 489$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.22 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 19c | 445.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 55c | 438.31$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 29c | 324.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.57 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 8c | 228$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Yes | 27c | 223$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.79 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 14c | 219.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 7c | 193.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 56c | 192.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 72c | 190$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 26c | 189$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 27c | 168.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 43c | 167$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 162.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 42c | 157.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 148$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 39c | 147.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 10c | 126.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed No | 73c | 122.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked No | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 73c | 109.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 78c | 106.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 26c | 104.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 102.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 75c | 95.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 27c | 92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 86.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 42c | 81.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed No | 72c | 68.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 21c | 68.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 73c | 66.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked Yes | 34c | 55.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 37c | 51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 45.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6e…8770backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed No | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 62c | 28.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 72c | 25.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 73c | 20.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed No | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…5147backed No | 52c | 19.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f028backed No | 57c | 18.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 74c | 17.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 77c | 15.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.