Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04f61861e08a24e20cb630c74620c9f2b1352e1783d2cded09d1ebe302827a81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 61c | 9,819$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.83 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 5,217$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.53 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 65c | 2,806$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.99 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 69c | 2,524$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.51 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 59c | 2,367$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.51 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 40c | 1,841$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.37 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed No | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 32c | 1,683$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.65 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 77c | 1,441$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.61 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…3ca8backed Yes | 36c | 1,393$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 23c | 1,299$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.13 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…4832backed Yes | 42c | 1,221$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 69c | 1,207$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.06 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…d8f5backed No | 59c | 1,196$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 28c | 1,141$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.36 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 40c | 1,121$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.49 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Yes | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 46c | 981.37$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.55 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…c950backed Yes | 77c | 837.84$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 41c | 811.51$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 71c | 808.11$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.91 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 730.23$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.79 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 39c | 683.76$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.67 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 53c | 660.37$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.37 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 39c | 658.82$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.94 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 32c | 612.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.91 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Yes | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 43c | 490$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.7 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 40c | 448.01$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.61 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31c…fb90backed Yes | 77c | 447.98$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 27c | 431.21$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.29 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 409$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.51 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 32c | 405.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.86 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 38c | 361$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…a2d6backed Yes | 78c | 339.74$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Yes | 9c | 331.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 39c | 330$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 15c | 317.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 77c | 298.1$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 5c | 278.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 40c | 275.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 37c | 244.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 242.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 44c | 229.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 41c | 227.73$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 65c | 222.1$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 19c | 215.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 10c | 194.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…210ebacked No | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 18c | 183.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 46c | 182.92$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 52c | 176.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +11.3wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 171.83$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 20c | 167.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 40c | 164$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 62c | 150$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 59c | 134.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 58c | 119.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 24c | 119.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 20c | 118$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yes | 38c | 116.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 114$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 57c | 107.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…a130backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed No | 60c | 102.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a4…46cabacked Yes | 43c | 97.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 39c | 95.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 16c | 93.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 41c | 90.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 20c | 88.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Yes | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 41c | 80.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 52c | 79.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 76c | 79.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 40c | 76.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Yes | 39c | 74.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 75c | 70.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 42c | 59.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 24c | 55.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.