TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BakS eSportsof BakS eSports, Fire Flux Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fire Flux Esports33c4,424$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.795,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed BakS eSports67c3,449$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.961,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked BakS eSports55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.9543951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed BakS eSports52c1,984$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.5843455.1%239 W · 195 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fire Flux Esports47c1,073$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.457,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Fire Flux Esports38c1,043$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.2479951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed BakS eSports61c799.96$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.982,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fire Flux Esports41c672.66$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.33,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Fire Flux Esports46c667.73$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.573,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Fire Flux Esports40c561.02$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.0337057%211 W · 159 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Fire Flux Esports44c530.38$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Fire Flux Esports35c515$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.245,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked BakS eSports67c499.99$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16716550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Fire Flux Esports20c449.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.212727.6%35 W · 92 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked BakS eSports48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20834542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Fire Flux Esports52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20841250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Fire Flux Esports28c353.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Fire Flux Esports44c340.95$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.392,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x059d…caf8backed BakS eSports68c334.32$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3211348.7%55 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Fire Flux Esports31c327.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4417448.3%84 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc4b…ecc5backed BakS eSports51c316.1$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.646942%29 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Fire Flux Esports44c291.25$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.642,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Fire Flux Esports34c286.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.292,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed BakS eSports52c285.03$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7920562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x489b…a6ecbacked Fire Flux Esports48c275$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked BakS eSports77c252.08$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.084057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf404…daaabacked BakS eSports62c248$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.249933.3%33 W · 66 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fire Flux Esports45c239.59$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.814,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed BakS eSports67c212.13$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4333849.7%168 W · 170 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fire Flux Esports37c211.96$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.344,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked BakS eSports66c205$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.722455.8%125 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fire Flux Esports34c201.72$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.431,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fire Flux Esports41c200.37$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.593,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fire Flux Esports46c199.39$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.481,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fire Flux Esports49c199.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.035,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Fire Flux Esports35c193.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4175245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Fire Flux Esports48c189$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.832,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fire Flux Esports41c187.44$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.062,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed Fire Flux Esports52c182.11$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3319468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed BakS eSports66c165.63$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5180942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Fire Flux Esports50c156.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.852,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed BakS eSports66c152.82$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9637848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71d3…e130backed BakS eSports67c149.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.853661.1%22 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked BakS eSports53c145.48$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.831,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Fire Flux Esports38c143.59$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.042,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BakS eSports66c140$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.62,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa005…abb1backed BakS eSports67c127.85$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6516847.6%80 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Fire Flux Esports32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4083856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1612…9dedbacked BakS eSports67c120$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.425551.8%132 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Fire Flux Esports35c117.69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.195536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Fire Flux Esports44c111.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.415,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c55…8dedbacked BakS eSports69c107.88$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4410346.6%48 W · 55 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked BakS eSports54c99.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467857.7%45 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed BakS eSports68c87.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.056842.6%29 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Fire Flux Esports32c83.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7446555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed BakS eSports65c82.83$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.248851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed BakS eSports79c81.75$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1169445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fire Flux Esports48c72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.562,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23df…3df7backed BakS eSports78c69$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.483145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d5…573bbacked Fire Flux Esports45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked BakS eSports65c62.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.732,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed BakS eSports76c62.08$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1452369.4%363 W · 160 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked BakS eSports66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.48653.5%46 W · 40 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked BakS eSports59c59.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.243278.1%25 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cf3…ae14backed Fire Flux Esports45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257160.6%43 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c2b…af40backed BakS eSports78c55.45$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.953174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed BakS eSports65c52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.220755.1%114 W · 93 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed BakS eSports72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1413142.7%56 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed BakS eSports70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1547054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ce…e2eabacked Fire Flux Esports45c44.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Fire Flux Esports32c40.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick30cpaid-84.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Fire Flux Esports28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.273948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66a…bcb8backed BakS eSports78c36.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.983666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked BakS eSports59c34.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.351,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd892…f028backed Fire Flux Esports37c34.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.481118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick50cpaid-68.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xffb3…fc52backed BakS eSports61c32.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.95850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe07d…4ee1backed Fire Flux Esports51c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.361163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked Fire Flux Esports32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011761.5%72 W · 45 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb3e…db66backed BakS eSports68c30.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85137.3%19 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x58db…6901backed Fire Flux Esports45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Fire Flux Esports43c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4745748.1%220 W · 237 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked BakS eSports52c26.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.841,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2b…16a0backed BakS eSports80c26.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.211656.3%9 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Fire Flux Esports48c26.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4949850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Fire Flux Esports45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.823156.3%130 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0db9…a4a8backed BakS eSports77c23.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.541850%9 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked BakS eSports69c20.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.473641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f1…f02dbacked Fire Flux Esports51c20.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.622630.8%8 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-40.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe2fe…580bbacked BakS eSports68c20.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.442857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed BakS eSports66c19.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8370042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x314f…e463backed BakS eSports67c16.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.312454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe37f…6635backed BakS eSports79c15.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.233161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked BakS eSports69c14.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3952645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.