Europa Conference League · resolved market
Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28c9a9c87f6caab732f75fe7be22741b6d493eb33eae5152df49983a820739f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 5c | 34,989$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.29 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 68c | 5,724$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.08 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 67c | 2,974$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Under | 69c | 2,111$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 33c | 1,919$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 31c | 1,750$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.77 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 1,684$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.69 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 32c | 978.13$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.13 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 5c | 642.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 67c | 597.36$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.5 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 5c | 581$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 5c | 550$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 6c | 537.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 31c | 403$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.07 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 31c | 403$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.07 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…a2d6backed Under | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 31c | 322$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.18 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 54c | 298.39$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.72 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 31c | 280.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.54 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 31c | 275.19$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.08 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 272.18$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.32 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 33c | 263.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.85 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 33c | 228$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 210.49$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 33c | 178.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 33c | 178$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 31c | 153$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Over | 48c | 115.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 44cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 47c | 92.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 68c | 82.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 24c | 78.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 43c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2914…aff6backed Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 62.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 32c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 31c | 48.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 74c | 40.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 31c | 35.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked Under | 69c | 30.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 29.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f028backed Under | 40c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…774cbacked Under | 61c | 20.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…5e33backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5this page
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 4.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 5.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Páfos FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Team to AdvanceFC Red Bull Salzburg won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)Páfos FC won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-2.5)Páfos FC won
- Spread: Páfos FC (-1.5)FC Red Bull Salzburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.