Europa Conference League · resolved market
Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b9f89de51b5ea9d40bf0980dcdcecf8f249d588a8bfe2076e9cdc92a4cb186
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Red Bull Salzburgof Páfos FC, FC Red Bull Salzburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0612…8d12backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 80c | 999.95$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…1699backed Páfos FC | 21c | 706.07$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Páfos FC | 20c | 590$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 52c | 528.69$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.87 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 79c | 474.31$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FC Red Bull Salzburg | 79c | 397.24$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Páfos FC | 20c | 380.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…899bbacked Páfos FC | 22c | 353.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked FC Red Bull Salzburg | 79c | 310.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Páfos FC | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Páfos FC | 19c | 292.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 79c | 288.59$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 79c | 283$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Páfos FC | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked FC Red Bull Salzburg | 75c | 155$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 35c | 151.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Páfos FC | 20c | 149.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Páfos FC | 18c | 147.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Páfos FC | 24c | 125.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Páfos FC | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Páfos FC | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Páfos FC | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7e…ac3ebacked Páfos FC | 20c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…3415backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 75c | 67.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked FC Red Bull Salzburg | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…57dcbacked Páfos FC | 26c | 57.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcf…d05cbacked Páfos FC | 20c | 52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 79c | 50.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Páfos FC | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 63c | 47.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Páfos FC | 37c | 47.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Páfos FC | 25c | 47.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Páfos FC | 24c | 44.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf870…99e6backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked FC Red Bull Salzburg | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked FC Red Bull Salzburg | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Team to Advancethis page
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 4.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 5.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Páfos FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)Páfos FC won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-2.5)Páfos FC won
- Spread: Páfos FC (-1.5)FC Red Bull Salzburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.