Europa Conference League · resolved market
Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc0255844a1c5d72939e685bb3b2d0984cdb9476833f0d26ee5684622f00839c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 59c | 2,385$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.95 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 41c | 1,646$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.71 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked No | 43c | 1,116$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 57c | 744.79$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.26 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 41c | 354.36$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 40c | 138$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 42c | 114.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 57c | 103.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Yes | 64c | 102.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 57c | 97.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 58c | 96.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 42c | 71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 41c | 69.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 41c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Yes | 60c | 67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 58c | 56.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 31c | 55.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 60c | 41.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…1bc4backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…20b0backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 32.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 66c | 30.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 27.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Yes | 60c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 4.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 5.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Páfos FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Team to AdvanceFC Red Bull Salzburg won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)Páfos FC won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-2.5)Páfos FC won
- Spread: Páfos FC (-1.5)FC Red Bull Salzburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.