Europa Conference League · resolved market
Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0509c6509c1a3cc6e350b40fb3f03faf24aad1de70d486664b53ad72ec0495e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Under | 32c | 26,943$8,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,564.03 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 20,707$14,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,626.17 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 29c | 3,324$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 31c | 2,262$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.32 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 70c | 2,258$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.81 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 71c | 2,188$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.52 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 70c | 2,045$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.46 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 68c | 1,904$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.26 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 68c | 1,001$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.37 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 69c | 989.79$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.87 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 31c | 312.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 29c | 287.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 69c | 256$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 69c | 217$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 68c | 207$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 70c | 199.4$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 70c | 198$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 69c | 194.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 68c | 192$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 70c | 155$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 71c | 114$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 29c | 107.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 70c | 87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 68c | 73.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Over | 68c | 64.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed Over | 69c | 49.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 72c | 43.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Under | 33c | 43.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 68c | 34.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Over | 68c | 29.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 67c | 15.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +11.3wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 4.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 5.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Páfos FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Team to AdvanceFC Red Bull Salzburg won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)Páfos FC won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-2.5)Páfos FC won
- Spread: Páfos FC (-1.5)FC Red Bull Salzburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.