Europa Conference League · resolved market
Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb995a21b99038791d862a3d4c32293f402f7a54dd6a12d106aabc58bd84babc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 30c | 1,665$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.23 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 2c | 1,300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 22c | 1,091$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.76 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 29c | 753.69$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Under | 45c | 607.35$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 606.34$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.22 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 46c | 476.55$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.21 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 67c | 447.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 76c | 394.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 391.34$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 54c | 337.94$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…6674backed Over | 56c | 329.91$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 44c | 212.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 54c | 200.04$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 46c | 200.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.7wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x45bb…4927backed Over | 53c | 182.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 74c | 181.08$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 74c | 180.74$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f61…86acbacked Over | 56c | 168.84$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 27c | 153.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 150.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 55c | 114.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…3d25backed Over | 79c | 106.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 44c | 103.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Over | 54c | 95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Under | 45c | 93.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 82.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 38c | 76.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 46c | 74.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Under | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…9ac7backed Over | 57c | 70.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 67.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…2b2fbacked Over | 75c | 66.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 52.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 47c | 45.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Over | 54c | 39.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 45c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…db0cbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8009…ca1bbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 45c | 34.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…35b3backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 44c | 30.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 45c | 27.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 46c | 24.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Over | 61c | 24.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 23.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 78c | 22.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5this page
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 4.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 5.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Páfos FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Team to AdvanceFC Red Bull Salzburg won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)Páfos FC won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-2.5)Páfos FC won
- Spread: Páfos FC (-1.5)FC Red Bull Salzburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.