TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Dana White's Contender Series: Kaik Brito vs. Namo Fazil (Welterweight, Main Card)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kaik Britoof Kaik Brito, Namo Fazil
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,316
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,316 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8239…d9a3backed Namo Fazil1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17b8…d5d1backed Kaik Brito38c9,709$3,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,009.9912847.7%61 W · 67 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c9…396dbacked Namo Fazil61c8,559$5,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,263.425362.3%33 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x151e…cedebacked Kaik Brito32c8,131$2,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,495.141770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+71%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Kaik Brito36c6,500$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,159.9811554.8%63 W · 52 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c3…bea3backed Namo Fazil65c6,467$4,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,212.83837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Namo Fazil67c6,320$4,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,256.5915537.4%58 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Namo Fazil63c6,185$3,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,878.58551.8%44 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31b6…2d92backed Kaik Brito38c5,231$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,230.99241.3%38 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x743f…4d76backed Namo Fazil64c4,689$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Kaik Brito38c4,603$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.891758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Namo Fazil62c3,583$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.2914237.3%53 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc97d…89d7backed Kaik Brito37c3,400$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.991735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Namo Fazil69c2,995$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.5513636%49 W · 87 L-13.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe176…a74ebacked Namo Fazil62c2,681$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Kaik Brito27c2,654$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Namo Fazil62c2,500$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.511746.2%54 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f86…4fa9backed Namo Fazil63c2,450$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.9614560%87 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Namo Fazil68c2,313$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.8353956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x141a…95a9backed Kaik Brito40c2,250$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.854454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Kaik Brito44c2,177$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.413644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0506…8c6abacked Kaik Brito34c2,000$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.3716746.1%77 W · 90 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Namo Fazil75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016745.5%76 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Kaik Brito28c1,940$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.995655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0839…60b5backed Kaik Brito38c1,739$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+98.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Kaik Brito26c1,422$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.4235848.3%173 W · 185 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x671d…2e26backed Kaik Brito33c1,401$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.035637.5%21 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Kaik Brito38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.3215348.4%74 W · 79 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kaik Brito35c1,278$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.7142054%227 W · 193 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Kaik Brito33c1,257$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.6310546.7%49 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f4…2b15backed Namo Fazil67c1,238$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.816156.5%91 W · 70 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x819d…6e9cbacked Namo Fazil59c1,188$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Namo Fazil66c1,113$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.759548.4%46 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Namo Fazil64c1,102$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.175240.4%21 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaffc…1d31backed Namo Fazil65c1,052$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.39425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe5…4745backed Kaik Brito37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99b1…196abacked Namo Fazil68c1,000$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.78861.4%54 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Namo Fazil62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62017752%92 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Kaik Brito37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6308458.3%49 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Namo Fazil64c1,000$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6354748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Kaik Brito37c999.99$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.995036%18 W · 32 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-34.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Kaik Brito35c972.57$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.179747.4%46 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Kaik Brito36c914.62$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.4113144.3%58 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb94c…ae33backed Namo Fazil61c887.08$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Kaik Brito37c755$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.771040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Kaik Brito39c719$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.594932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01f9…964abacked Kaik Brito39c674.51$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.86837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a63…5dcebacked Namo Fazil76c662.79$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.694850%24 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b3…20fbbacked Namo Fazil62c640.12$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28ef…ff5ebacked Kaik Brito39c615.38$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.381752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a6a…6d09backed Kaik Brito33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.06540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Namo Fazil64c600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38437754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f4a…7aa2backed Namo Fazil61c583.23$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3563658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b2…953bbacked Kaik Brito25c580.72$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.54875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Kaik Brito25c571.42$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.562157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+57.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x718f…f25abacked Namo Fazil63c547.62$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3451668.8%11 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Kaik Brito40c544.03$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.648636%31 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f22…6482backed Namo Fazil63c539.24$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3409756.7%55 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfccc…d978backed Namo Fazil57c528.08$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…2b75backed Namo Fazil61c524.19$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.763461.8%21 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd296…084dbacked Kaik Brito40c515.46$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.282850%14 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Kaik Brito39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.821442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Namo Fazil59c504.02$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.827448.2%132 W · 142 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf12d…8696backed Kaik Brito34c501.97$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.194100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+136.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Kaik Brito39c500$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30756450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed Namo Fazil58c496.04$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2885463%34 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed Namo Fazil61c459.02$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-52.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Namo Fazil65c454.54$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.457842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbffe…6492backed Kaik Brito44c451$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.575547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf51…8bfabacked Namo Fazil27c441.02$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.176446.9%30 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Kaik Brito31c407.23$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.834643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1aa…b4bebacked Kaik Brito50c398.39$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.23577.1%27 W · 8 L+6.7wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Kaik Brito37c395.85$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.631435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Kaik Brito38c365.43$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.472356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Kaik Brito33c359.52$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.15354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Namo Fazil60c341.1$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.282962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Namo Fazil65c339.55$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22029848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3978…e8f9backed Kaik Brito39c338.18$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.291540%6 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+100.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Kaik Brito37c326.56$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7313951.1%71 W · 68 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1719…b07abacked Namo Fazil62c322.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Kaik Brito39c299.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18310651.9%55 W · 51 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Namo Fazil63c298.08$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.793946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Kaik Brito35c295.98$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.995459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked Namo Fazil63c290$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.73030%9 W · 21 L-6.1wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-38.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb3f3…3426backed Kaik Brito36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7814132.6%46 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Namo Fazil66c275.78$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.142254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Namo Fazil59c255.04$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.481947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe160…b6b9backed Kaik Brito31c248.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5714442.4%61 W · 83 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Kaik Brito38c245.81$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.767244.4%32 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6018…ac09backed Kaik Brito34c235.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.591060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Kaik Brito41c219.25$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8114543.4%63 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Kaik Brito27c210.9$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.646368.3%43 W · 20 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Namo Fazil67c206.91$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.921957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Namo Fazil61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a35…a978backed Namo Fazil68c199.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.992642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f1…6feabacked Namo Fazil61c167.42$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2461…3eefbacked Namo Fazil62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa370…dce8backed Namo Fazil65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed Kaik Brito37c148.38$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.48580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick35cpaid+129%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629b…3a56backed Namo Fazil70c142.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.851457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.