Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2d03f2745202f73089ca64a2b3ebc1290cae16691b3983c1f88ed0021985176
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $457,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 20,009$10,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,204.55 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked LGD Gaming | 79c | 15,604$12,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,384.39 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked L1ga Team | 62c | 11,878$7,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,491.27 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed L1ga Team | 50c | 10,850$5,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,474.31 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 9,470$7,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,426.44 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked L1ga Team | 31c | 8,312$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,714.66 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 8,207$4,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,902.56 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked LGD Gaming | 65c | 8,070$5,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,226.61 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3954…22d9backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 6,741$5,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,251.29 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 6,250$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.89 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed L1ga Team | 21c | 6,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,740 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked L1ga Team | 67c | 5,954$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.17 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed L1ga Team | 60c | 5,853$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.62 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed L1ga Team | 20c | 5,611$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,508.06 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked L1ga Team | 21c | 5,180$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091.78 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed L1ga Team | 38c | 4,850$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.26 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 4,431$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456.37 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 4,249$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.07 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked LGD Gaming | 9c | 4,036$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.55 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed L1ga Team | 69c | 3,638$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.99 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked L1ga Team | 21c | 3,600$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.8 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed L1ga Team | 36c | 2,777$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.48 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked LGD Gaming | 23c | 2,700$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked LGD Gaming | 37c | 2,675$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.99 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed LGD Gaming | 79c | 2,656$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed LGD Gaming | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed L1ga Team | 23c | 2,470$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.8 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed L1ga Team | 36c | 2,136$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.51 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked L1ga Team | 20c | 2,103$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.59 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed L1ga Team | 47c | 2,084$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.09 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed LGD Gaming | 1c | 2,060$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 2,033$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.27 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed L1ga Team | 22c | 2,000$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…1683backed L1ga Team | 36c | 2,000$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.14 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed L1ga Team | 27c | 1,964$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.79 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed L1ga Team | 23c | 1,910$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.98 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 1,909$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed LGD Gaming | 43c | 1,850$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.13 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked L1ga Team | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed L1ga Team | 22c | 1,754$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.86 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 1,639$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked L1ga Team | 56c | 1,638$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.73 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed L1ga Team | 39c | 1,406$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.28 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked L1ga Team | 22c | 1,374$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.79 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…06d6backed L1ga Team | 21c | 1,318$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed LGD Gaming | 43c | 1,300$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed L1ga Team | 47c | 1,279$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.91 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 1,266$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.73 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed L1ga Team | 55c | 1,192$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.27 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed L1ga Team | 22c | 1,170$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.77 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked LGD Gaming | 65c | 1,151$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 36c | 1,021$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.67 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed LGD Gaming | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed L1ga Team | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed LGD Gaming | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked LGD Gaming | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 980$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 965.37$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.52 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed L1ga Team | 48c | 941$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.32 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked L1ga Team | 77c | 891.68$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.44 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…6019backed LGD Gaming | 79c | 886$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 879.99$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.77 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed L1ga Team | 26c | 869.2$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.53 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 810.64$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed L1ga Team | 47c | 801.45$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.45 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed LGD Gaming | 76c | 800$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed L1ga Team | 15c | 795$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.59 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed L1ga Team | 41c | 735.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.18 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed L1ga Team | 17c | 735$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.4 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LGD Gaming | 55c | 675.1$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.94 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed L1ga Team | 49c | 657.14$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.14 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…443bbacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 650.31$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.14 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…8b13backed L1ga Team | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…edadbacked L1ga Team | 21c | 611.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.37 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed L1ga Team | 58c | 594.45$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.69 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed L1ga Team | 22c | 572.73$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.73 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 565.22$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.78 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed L1ga Team | 72c | 552.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked LGD Gaming | 45c | 514.89$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.7 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked LGD Gaming | 77c | 506.47$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.48 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked L1ga Team | 32c | 500.88$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.08 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792c…d2ecbacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked L1ga Team | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked LGD Gaming | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked LGD Gaming | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed LGD Gaming | 29c | 472.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LGD Gaming | 52c | 455.14$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.31 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed LGD Gaming | 27c | 450.66$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked LGD Gaming | 21c | 448$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 440.56$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.12 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team | 29c | 411.28$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.05 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 402.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked L1ga Team | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LGD Gaming | 45c | 394$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.07 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…559ebacked LGD Gaming | 16c | 389.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 180 | 55.6%100 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x577b…ad6abacked LGD Gaming | 77c | 381.35$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group DLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs L1ga Team (+1.5)L1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.