Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6098def5fb130d9170aaef9ab61182b8f788686cd4e4d422e0650dd4dda4ad6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof L1ga Team, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $391,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $485,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked L1ga Team | 43c | 24,000$10,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,410.36 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3954…22d9backed LGD Gaming | 79c | 20,361$16,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275.81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked L1ga Team | 25c | 18,513$4,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,701.21 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 18,005$12,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.29 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…265cbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 9,633$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.92 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed LGD Gaming | 77c | 6,789$5,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 5,639$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.81 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked L1ga Team | 48c | 4,577$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.07 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed L1ga Team | 40c | 4,558$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.1 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 4,056$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.55 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 3,899$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.59 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 3,712$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.83 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed L1ga Team | 32c | 3,257$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.08 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 3,050$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.51 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed L1ga Team | 21c | 2,857$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked L1ga Team | 45c | 2,649$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked L1ga Team | 49c | 2,638$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.3 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked L1ga Team | 17c | 2,549$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.73 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked LGD Gaming | 62c | 2,501$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.13 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed L1ga Team | 1c | 2,404$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked L1ga Team | 24c | 2,400$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.6 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked L1ga Team | 42c | 2,400$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.88 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed L1ga Team | 47c | 2,335$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.61 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 2,166$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.78 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 2,010$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.89 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.99 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed LGD Gaming | 44c | 1,867$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.45 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed LGD Gaming | 57c | 1,866$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.75 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 1,861$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.56 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 1,739$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.41 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 1,720$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.8 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked L1ga Team | 38c | 1,650$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.46 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.06 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked L1ga Team | 17c | 1,552$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed L1ga Team | 27c | 1,515$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.53 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 1,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.05 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked L1ga Team | 36c | 1,490$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.1 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 31c | 1,322$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.07 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 1,320$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.59 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed L1ga Team | 24c | 1,312$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed L1ga Team | 32c | 1,311$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.42 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed L1ga Team | 61c | 1,310$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 1,301$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.58 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed L1ga Team | 28c | 1,279$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…3c09backed L1ga Team | 61c | 1,267$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.94 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed L1ga Team | 39c | 1,205$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.26 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 1,200$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed L1ga Team | 48c | 1,146$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked LGD Gaming | 77c | 1,121$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.57 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…bb1cbacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 1,119$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 1,085$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.65 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked L1ga Team | 43c | 1,039$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 1,037$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.32 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…6019backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 1,037$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed L1ga Team | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed LGD Gaming | 43c | 973.65$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.05 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 916.25$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.17 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed L1ga Team | 38c | 900$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.2 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked L1ga Team | 40c | 884.57$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed L1ga Team | 18c | 833.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.05 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed L1ga Team | 37c | 814.84$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked L1ga Team | 27c | 793.34$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.77 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked L1ga Team | 37c | 782.08$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.17 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 752.5$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 750$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.75 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 733.01$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.19 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed L1ga Team | 21c | 700.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed L1ga Team | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 674.17$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.19 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed LGD Gaming | 57c | 664.99$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.65 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…8b21backed L1ga Team | 59c | 655.02$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.95 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 650.01$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.47 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed L1ga Team | 50c | 637.66$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.57 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed L1ga Team | 44c | 625$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked L1ga Team | 43c | 623.03$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.6 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed L1ga Team | 45c | 621.52$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.19 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked L1ga Team | 23c | 577.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.47 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed L1ga Team | 21c | 574.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed L1ga Team | 21c | 571.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 570$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.04 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed L1ga Team | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked L1ga Team | 17c | 549.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 540$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.6 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 23c | 522.77$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked L1ga Team | 24c | 500.64$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.33 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x792c…d2ecbacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed L1ga Team | 39c | 489.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.17 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 481.78$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked L1ga Team | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed L1ga Team | 43c | 472.5$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aac…4b51backed L1ga Team | 35c | 472.14$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed L1ga Team | 31c | 469.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.57 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed LGD Gaming | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 420.27$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team | 31c | 414.49$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.24 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked L1ga Team | 21c | 412.9$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group DLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs L1ga Team (+1.5)L1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.