Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62681a32c2f55db7c8a9669d4be411a5f16b5b26a1e552bef984629d394f8762
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $498,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed OG | 63c | 33,780$21,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,404.76 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 16,738$6,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,778.52 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 58c | 14,087$8,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,238.3 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 13,604$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,668.47 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 13,292$5,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,738.15 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 12,406$5,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,786.81 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked OG | 52c | 11,347$5,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,892.83 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked OG | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked OG | 57c | 9,992$5,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,701.76 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 8,834$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,344.59 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked OG | 56c | 7,700$4,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292.98 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed OG | 52c | 7,122$3,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,734.95 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 7,015$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,878.13 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 6,387$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.07 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed OG | 65c | 6,078$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.57 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 5,063$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.31 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked OG | 61c | 4,451$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked OG | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 3,899$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.8 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 3,880$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.44 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed OG | 56c | 3,343$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.37 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed OG | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed OG | 64c | 2,700$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked OG | 39c | 2,552$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.28 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 2,468$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.68 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 2,458$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.79 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed OG | 42c | 2,385$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…03cfbacked OG | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 2,298$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.19 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked OG | 55c | 2,083$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.08 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 2,073$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.39 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 2,029$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.18 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed OG | 40c | 2,003$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.28 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 2,000$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.61 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed OG | 52c | 1,913$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked OG | 58c | 1,822$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.76 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Vici Gaming | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 1,676$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.18 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed OG | 39c | 1,596$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.44 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 1,595$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.64 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked OG | 56c | 1,586$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.56 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed OG | 64c | 1,568$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 40c | 1,506$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.33 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 1,459$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.55 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,455$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.91 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked OG | 62c | 1,455$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.92 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG | 57c | 1,440$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.11 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed OG | 19c | 1,400$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed OG | 47c | 1,386$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 1,285$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.81 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 1,281$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.97 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,275$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 1,260$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.5 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 47c | 1,255$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.35 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 1,250$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.12 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Vici Gaming | 59c | 1,238$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.28 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed OG | 58c | 1,232$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.36 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked OG | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed OG | 56c | 1,195$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.21 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked OG | 75c | 1,191$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.82 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed OG | 41c | 1,179$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.55 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed OG | 50c | 1,141$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.29 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked OG | 43c | 1,128$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.83 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked OG | 48c | 1,067$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.21 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed OG | 39c | 1,044$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.16 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,038$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.9 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed OG | 39c | 1,032$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.26 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed OG | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed OG | 53c | 999.98$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.99 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed OG | 50c | 980$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 951.97$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.97 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 931.76$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.77 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed OG | 74c | 914.31$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.19 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked OG | 67c | 910.84$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.97 | 268 | 59%158 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Vici Gaming | 22c | 900$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 893.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.93 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 850$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.5 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked OG | 66c | 831.64$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.12 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed OG | 49c | 820$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.4 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed OG | 58c | 810$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.9 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed OG | 69c | 785.32$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.87 | 331 | 65.3%216 W · 115 L | +23.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 700$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.1 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed OG | 55c | 686.02$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.07 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 668.49$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.81 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 622.66$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.67 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 62c | 619.58$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.14 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 600$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked OG | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed OG | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…d1f2backed OG | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…438fbacked OG | 52c | 588.96$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.26 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 584.75$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.48 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed OG | 53c | 566.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed OG | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.