Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eed86d7fe4849a6f046796f7cfe57bf01e619f529170822ad8933d45c6059b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $439,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $522,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed OG | 50c | 66,000$33,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,217.53 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 29,781$16,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,699.33 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 26,198$14,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,153.52 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 20,254$9,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,156.57 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed OG | 47c | 14,250$6,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,654.98 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 11,757$6,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,372.55 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Vici Gaming | 48c | 10,650$5,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,556.8 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 9,846$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966.37 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed OG | 56c | 8,327$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.79 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed OG | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 7,234$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,120.23 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked OG | 46c | 6,320$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.92 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 6,192$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.94 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 5,962$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked OG | 47c | 5,849$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.53 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed OG | 27c | 5,801$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.19 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed OG | 63c | 5,740$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,618.65 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 5,707$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.08 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked OG | 32c | 5,679$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.17 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.3 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked OG | 40c | 5,052$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.98 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 4,416$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.08 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 4,372$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.39 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed OG | 70c | 4,155$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.67 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 4,026$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.2 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 3,398$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.98 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed OG | 28c | 3,372$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.17 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked OG | 55c | 3,207$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.76 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 3,183$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.54 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 3,040$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.4 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 3,000$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.69 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed OG | 31c | 2,904$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 2,713$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.39 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 2,702$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.49 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed OG | 51c | 2,542$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.88 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed OG | 44c | 2,455$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.27 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 2,433$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.21 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed OG | 51c | 2,400$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.98 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed OG | 47c | 2,353$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 2,213$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.84 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked OG | 35c | 2,186$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.94 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked OG | 39c | 2,175$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.22 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 60c | 2,035$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.71 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 2,014$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.36 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed OG | 43c | 2,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.97 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed OG | 45c | 1,943$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.13 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Vici Gaming | 63c | 1,940$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.72 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,904$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.93 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked OG | 41c | 1,863$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.66 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…f30fbacked OG | 45c | 1,850$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed OG | 55c | 1,831$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.06 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked OG | 34c | 1,757$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.72 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked OG | 33c | 1,550$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.49 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 1,540$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.69 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed OG | 64c | 1,469$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.36 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 1,400$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.78 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed OG | 44c | 1,390$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.5 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 1,370$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.07 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed OG | 39c | 1,368$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.61 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed OG | 74c | 1,269$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.77 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 1,263$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.74 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked OG | 69c | 1,215$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.27 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked OG | 46c | 1,198$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed OG | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed OG | 75c | 1,113$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed OG | 48c | 1,081$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.28 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 1,080$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.85 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed OG | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vici Gaming | 72c | 1,035$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.72 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed OG | 35c | 1,030$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.49 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 1,022$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.25 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…d1f2backed OG | 46c | 1,018$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 40c | 1,008$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 1,000$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed OG | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed OG | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 992$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.52 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 966.89$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.48 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Vici Gaming | 58c | 954.34$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.32 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 919.67$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.64 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Vici Gaming | 67c | 900$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed OG | 53c | 894.14$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.11 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 47c | 884.12$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.54 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 877.11$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.7 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…300dbacked OG | 69c | 875$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 837.56$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.2 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Vici Gaming | 24c | 830.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.06 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed OG | 31c | 828$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.51 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 819.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.44 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed OG | 37c | 805.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed OG | 74c | 750$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed OG | 67c | 746.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed OG | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 699.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.