Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gentofte: Carl Emil Overbeck vs Petr Nesterov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b241fba73289501a7f2c092080615904b88f3c4cee74ae9a56cd0e74278aef8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Petr Nesterovof Carl Emil Overbeck, Petr Nesterov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 58c | 29,106$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 756 | 40.1%303 W · 453 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Petr Nesterov | 50c | 19,282$9,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,731.49 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Carl Emil Overbeck | 11c | 6,576$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.75 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Petr Nesterov | 44c | 4,799$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Petr Nesterov | 38c | 1,884$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.13 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Petr Nesterov | 51c | 941.79$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.29 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Petr Nesterov | 25c | 669.61$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.26 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Petr Nesterov | 63c | 590$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.1 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Petr Nesterov | 31c | 447.19$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.56 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Petr Nesterov | 56c | 336.14$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.43 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Carl Emil Overbeck | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 59c | 298.64$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Petr Nesterov | 38c | 238$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.38 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Carl Emil Overbeck | 45c | 230.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Petr Nesterov | 29c | 217.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.79 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Petr Nesterov | 27c | 188.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.89 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 29c | 182.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Petr Nesterov | 46c | 170$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Petr Nesterov | 27c | 166.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Petr Nesterov | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 313 | 55.3%173 W · 140 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…db33backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 189 | 68.8%130 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Petr Nesterov | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Petr Nesterov | 34c | 152.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Petr Nesterov | 52c | 141.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Petr Nesterov | 58c | 123.01$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Petr Nesterov | 54c | 105.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Petr Nesterov | 52c | 91.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Petr Nesterov | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Petr Nesterov | 26c | 84.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Petr Nesterov | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Petr Nesterov | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Petr Nesterov | 62c | 68.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589f…2fe4backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 57c | 66.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Petr Nesterov | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Petr Nesterov | 69c | 59.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Petr Nesterov | 28c | 59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Carl Emil Overbeck | 34c | 58.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Petr Nesterov | 28c | 55.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Petr Nesterov | 45c | 51.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Petr Nesterov | 47c | 42.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Petr Nesterov | 29c | 38.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Petr Nesterov | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 53c | 34.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 908 | 34.1%310 W · 598 L | -43.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Petr Nesterov | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 287 | 43.6%125 W · 162 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 57c | 26.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed Petr Nesterov | 71c | 21.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Carl Emil Overbeck | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 478 | 52.1%249 W · 229 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…6d00backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 56c | 18.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…f00bbacked Carl Emil Overbeck | 70c | 18.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f2…9c52backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 78c | 14.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.