TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-08-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,067
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,067 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Yes38c42,140$15,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,934.541915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-70%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No68c13,199$8,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,248.982,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c8,277$5,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120.258,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes7c5,410$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.413,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes6c4,221$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.732,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes37c3,631$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.4749136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No63c3,428$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.771,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c3,097$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.761,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No63c2,974$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.431,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c2,957$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.145,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Yes36c2,033$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.9315045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No64c1,997$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.781,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Yes6c1,894$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9910828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes37c1,622$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c1,601$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.383,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes8c595.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.571,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1856550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No63c443.03$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1255250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes5c421.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.05119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No63c411.27$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7446449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed Yes12c407.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505632.1%18 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No62c397$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4472058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes38c379$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0223733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No63c343.2$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0650656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked No63c335.74$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1514753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes39c334.23$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1364633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No62c326.73$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1627855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No64c325$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1179651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4621252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No63c298.28$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9333152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed No64c257.87$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.875056%28 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No63c221.11$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2869453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes17c180.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2389645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No71c176.26$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0375240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes36c174.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9955946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No62c173$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.748551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No62c159.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9725955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No62c158.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.121,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes34c122.95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.819437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed No62c107.58$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4411155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No63c102.64$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.12,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Yes36c99.03$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.653135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes18c94.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1342946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308937.1%33 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked No62c89.49$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.854372.1%31 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+16.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked No62c89.27$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6610458.7%61 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1425…3bc8backed Yes28c86.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.422065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed No61c83.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4821044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304856.3%27 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x54b5…2e90backed No62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No62c76.23$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9716751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked No62c73.53$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9919164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked No62c72.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.587463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed No63c69.43$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.814149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes43c69.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.751,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed No62c68.9$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.184858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No62c65.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7419040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No62c61.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4134155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No63c59.79$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.338166.7%54 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed No62c55.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8511861.9%73 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No62c54.46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4833365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed No63c50.16$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.638760.9%53 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1978756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes23c49.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.081369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3743…7bc1backed No62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.392642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed No62c48.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.253259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x589f…2fe4backed Yes33c48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes34c46.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8360156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f4b…ba66backed Yes37c43.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes37c40.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.866837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02d…ea64backed Yes34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+111.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed No62c39.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.172254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes37c37.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.851,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf37e…2709backed No76c32.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.791275%9 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked No62c31.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.053630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Yes39c30.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.969350.5%47 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No63c30.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.117067.6%115 W · 55 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc151…99e5backed Yes37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12420.8%5 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-56.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed No61c29.38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3215364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No63c28.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5226465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No62c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.641,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No62c25.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.827549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b1aebacked No65c25.15$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.764971.4%35 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed No62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.512662.7%79 W · 47 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb269…9548backed No60c24.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1927349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked No66c23.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.013961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25b4…635abacked No62c22.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.372774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No63c20.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5241262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed No63c17.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.731947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.