South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14813d5d99c8d4d83648abd551038c82024848b19f3480caeb199148fb651c69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 34c | 18,999$6,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,459.64 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 7,832$5,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.96 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 66c | 3,722$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.48 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 66c | 2,243$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.48 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 68c | 1,737$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.27 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,432$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 1,104$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.99 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,103$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.77 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 991.77$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.76 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 66c | 554.37$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.46 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 514$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.48 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 71c | 455.7$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.16 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 70c | 382.21$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 366.74$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.36 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 34c | 294.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 66c | 240.45$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 68c | 202.6$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 66c | 196$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 190$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 68c | 161.47$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 65c | 149.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 147.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 146.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Yes | 35c | 138.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…f000backed No | 66c | 131.82$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 20c | 113$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 70c | 101.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 67c | 99.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 66c | 98.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 79c | 97.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…dd16backed Yes | 33c | 94.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 88.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 34c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Yes | 35c | 65.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 63.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed No | 67c | 57.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 71c | 54.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 71c | 54.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked No | 71c | 53.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 66c | 41.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 71c | 40.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…b26bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 31c | 38.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3756…b936backed No | 67c | 38.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 34c | 37.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dedfbacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 27.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 75c | 26.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed No | 66c | 24.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8902…506ebacked No | 66c | 24.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked No | 66c | 20.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 66c | 20.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 71c | 19.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff5…0147backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed No | 66c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b36…6837backed No | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +159.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 66c | 15.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed No | 67c | 15.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 73c | 14.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-08-03?Yes won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-08-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.