Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04e633b071a9beb86d37368d32ef5e4e10c66cdb2754cc11221c8b26f35685e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 38,778$16,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,248.92 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 55c | 29,937$16,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,539.09 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed PlayTime | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 12,650$6,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,627.74 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Rune Eaters | 77c | 11,682$9,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.54 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…cc94backed PlayTime | 1c | 9,507$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked PlayTime | 48c | 8,981$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.62 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed PlayTime | 51c | 8,441$4,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,317.03 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 7,213$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,213.36 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 6,634$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.54 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed PlayTime | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 4,757$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.24 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 62c | 4,530$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.68 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 4,242$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.91 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 3,595$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.09 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 3,300$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…f30ebacked PlayTime | 75c | 2,133$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Rune Eaters | 79c | 2,102$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.13 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 1,991$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.7 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 1,730$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.4 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 1,721$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.66 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 1,682$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.21 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 45c | 1,616$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.32 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed PlayTime | 66c | 1,530$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.12 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed PlayTime | 54c | 1,500$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.23 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed PlayTime | 54c | 1,342$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 1,327$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.96 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PlayTime | 48c | 1,217$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.71 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…03cfbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 1,152$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.68 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked PlayTime | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 979.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked PlayTime | 54c | 918.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed PlayTime | 2c | 899.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 834.65$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.65 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed PlayTime | 49c | 799.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 799.99$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.15 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed PlayTime | 55c | 761.31$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.75 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 740$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.8 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked PlayTime | 55c | 733.6$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked PlayTime | 72c | 725.9$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.48 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed PlayTime | 67c | 711.83$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.93 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Rune Eaters | 32c | 708.45$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.21 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 67c | 700$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.63 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked PlayTime | 75c | 672$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 666.59$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.73 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PlayTime | 58c | 643.77$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.16 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed PlayTime | 53c | 614.52$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.71 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PlayTime | 38c | 600$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…b014backed PlayTime | 61c | 575.39$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked PlayTime | 52c | 551.91$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.99 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 544.02$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.49 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed PlayTime | 8c | 534.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 507.69$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed PlayTime | 55c | 494.47$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.59 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 467.11$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.62 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 457.4$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.4 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 389.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.82 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 377.44$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.78 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed PlayTime | 54c | 371.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…53d1backed PlayTime | 41c | 353.81$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 344.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.42 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed PlayTime | 58c | 341.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 335.45$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 333$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked PlayTime | 74c | 316.04$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.03 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Rune Eaters | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked PlayTime | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked PlayTime | 59c | 245.16$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed PlayTime | 32c | 241.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked PlayTime | 42c | 233.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked PlayTime | 45c | 229.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 228.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed PlayTime | 65c | 225.31$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…eef7backed PlayTime | 63c | 221.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked PlayTime | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…08f8backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 209.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…9110backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 200.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 60c | 195.35$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.66 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 193.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 191.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x337c…3812backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 187.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed PlayTime | 48c | 182.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed PlayTime | 64c | 175$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed PlayTime | 57c | 172.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 162.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed PlayTime | 58c | 162.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed PlayTime | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked PlayTime | 51c | 155.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…edadbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 153.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 150$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked PlayTime | 53c | 131.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 130.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Group BRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.