Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x744eefa4b48974527ee7ad2e71b778ee04befbadd45d4f4bbc491a2c43feda48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PlayTime | 56c | 8,165$4,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,594.89 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 36c | 6,635$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.28 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 4,098$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 3,988$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.27 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Rune Eaters | 78c | 3,532$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.06 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked PlayTime | 24c | 3,303$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.72 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PlayTime | 60c | 3,097$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.43 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 2,910$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.42 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 2,787$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.72 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 2,590$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.6 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…3c09backed PlayTime | 63c | 2,423$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.98 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked PlayTime | 63c | 2,390$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.72 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.97 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Rune Eaters | 70c | 1,937$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.75 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 1,815$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.43 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 1,803$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.08 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PlayTime | 57c | 1,755$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.49 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 1,731$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.55 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed PlayTime | 66c | 1,523$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 1,522$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.9 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 1,442$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.91 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed PlayTime | 3c | 1,200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 1,116$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.82 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PlayTime | 61c | 1,040$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.16 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PlayTime | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…1683backed PlayTime | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed PlayTime | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe390…2b57backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 990.05$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed PlayTime | 50c | 979.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed PlayTime | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 881.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.27 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed PlayTime | 33c | 878.74$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.33 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…89ebbacked PlayTime | 6c | 803.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e13…b01bbacked PlayTime | 56c | 800$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed PlayTime | 33c | 774.78$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.57 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked PlayTime | 44c | 765.61$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.54 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 713.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.9 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 702.5$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.62 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 680.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.52 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed PlayTime | 62c | 677.67$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.07 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…d1f2backed PlayTime | 59c | 666.14$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed PlayTime | 65c | 650$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.5 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 580$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.13 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked PlayTime | 53c | 541.5$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 35c | 532.17$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.91 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed PlayTime | 54c | 520$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…b014backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 518.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked PlayTime | 7c | 502.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked PlayTime | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed PlayTime | 53c | 483.08$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.91 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…53d1backed PlayTime | 43c | 465.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PlayTime | 61c | 461.48$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.74 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed Rune Eaters | 75c | 457.33$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed PlayTime | 65c | 450$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 412.65$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.96 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed PlayTime | 60c | 405$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked PlayTime | 62c | 404.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4d…c1bebacked PlayTime | 10c | 400.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked PlayTime | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.71 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked PlayTime | 49c | 398.15$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.87 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PlayTime | 57c | 397.89$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.58 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 365.18$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PlayTime | 65c | 338.23$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked PlayTime | 45c | 317.81$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 299.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked PlayTime | 56c | 294.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.71 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed PlayTime | 65c | 283$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.95 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PlayTime | 64c | 263.46$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.53 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 243.88$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 227.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.73 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed PlayTime | 48c | 216.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked PlayTime | 51c | 214.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked PlayTime | 65c | 210.77$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 204.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked PlayTime | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked PlayTime | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 195.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PlayTime | 60c | 188.44$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 57c | 181.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PlayTime | 58c | 181.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 163.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed PlayTime | 36c | 161.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed PlayTime | 66c | 160$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…0effbacked PlayTime | 66c | 155.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…a16abacked PlayTime | 61c | 147.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed PlayTime | 65c | 146.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked PlayTime | 33c | 146.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 145.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed PlayTime | 75c | 145.39$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed PlayTime | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 60c | 140$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed PlayTime | 33c | 136.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x337c…3812backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 136.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 134.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed PlayTime | 65c | 124.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…da6cbacked PlayTime | 65c | 121.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…3e17backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 119.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Group BRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.