Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20145d2ebd231ae3b829405294440da04ed8ad5e1903925e1b9489eba07677ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 5,369$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.57 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efe…8b8ebacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 3,078$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed PlayTime | 58c | 1,341$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.36 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PlayTime | 48c | 1,332$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.59 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 1,253$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.03 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PlayTime | 52c | 1,223$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.4 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Rune Eaters | 79c | 1,093$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.73 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed PlayTime | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked PlayTime | 62c | 980$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.6 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked PlayTime | 63c | 957.73$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.93 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed PlayTime | 62c | 814.88$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.83 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 769.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.62 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PlayTime | 48c | 737.87$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.98 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rune Eaters | 76c | 520.5$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PlayTime | 63c | 500$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 477$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.51 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 435.66$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed PlayTime | 61c | 402.65$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.62 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked PlayTime | 62c | 377.27$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.48 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed PlayTime | 48c | 370.07$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.82 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked PlayTime | 32c | 362.44$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked PlayTime | 21c | 349.72$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 328.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.14 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed PlayTime | 25c | 309.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked PlayTime | 62c | 299.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked PlayTime | 20c | 296$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…edadbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 261.55$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.43 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 256.66$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 226.27$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked PlayTime | 53c | 221$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 219.49$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed PlayTime | 37c | 212.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked PlayTime | 37c | 204.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 202.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.04 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 187.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed PlayTime | 36c | 171.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked PlayTime | 54c | 161$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked PlayTime | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed PlayTime | 34c | 158.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…6c1dbacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 150.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked PlayTime | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked PlayTime | 57c | 141.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PlayTime | 49c | 137.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed PlayTime | 34c | 136.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…4065backed PlayTime | 61c | 134$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 132.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PlayTime | 31c | 130$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PlayTime | 33c | 119.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed PlayTime | 36c | 104.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 98 | 35.7%35 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed PlayTime | 38c | 102.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PlayTime | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed PlayTime | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked PlayTime | 50c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 93.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 92.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked PlayTime | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e88…697dbacked PlayTime | 12c | 91.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…b974backed PlayTime | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed PlayTime | 50c | 77.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed PlayTime | 45c | 77.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed PlayTime | 62c | 75.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed PlayTime | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd50…be4bbacked PlayTime | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed PlayTime | 61c | 64.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed PlayTime | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed PlayTime | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 49.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed PlayTime | 44c | 45.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 45.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…14c8backed PlayTime | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked PlayTime | 59c | 43.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 43c | 40.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 38.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PlayTime | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked PlayTime | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed PlayTime | 46c | 32.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked PlayTime | 63c | 29.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 25.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 24.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 24.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 24.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked PlayTime | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5396…6a3bbacked PlayTime | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked PlayTime | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Rune Eaters | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed PlayTime | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Rune Eaters | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked PlayTime | 59c | 19.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed PlayTime | 61c | 18.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f4…5a16backed PlayTime | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.