South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cf4f07ca1f27c2c06ff44ecfaacc4804ca6b86dac6de27604b995eae853a106

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: CSyD Macaráof Santos FC, CSyD Macará
Resolved: Aug 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,787
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $30,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,787 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc3ed…9f79backed CSyD Macará	56c	10,697$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,697.45	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Santos FC	44c	5,004$2,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,201.95	58	50%29 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed CSyD Macará	70c	3,707$2,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,097.37	2,514	39%980 W · 1,534 L	-32.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Santos FC	44c	2,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Santos FC	29c	1,949$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.12	402	42%169 W · 233 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Santos FC	24c	1,833$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.27	1,290	42.8%552 W · 738 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed CSyD Macará	75c	1,508$1,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.64	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Santos FC	45c	1,497$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.35	668	37.1%248 W · 420 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Santos FC	44c	1,369$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.55	170	49.4%84 W · 86 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed CSyD Macará	58c	1,334$774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.2	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed CSyD Macará	65c	1,323$857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.92	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e7…ceedbacked CSyD Macará	55c	1,248$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$561.43	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed CSyD Macará	74c	1,144$847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.77	2,281	34.3%782 W · 1,499 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Santos FC	44c	1,051$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.57	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Santos FC	42c	1,042$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.74	1,944	51.3%998 W · 946 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Santos FC	43c	871.87$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.58	2,335	51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Santos FC	26c	595.09$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.72	138	56.5%78 W · 60 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Santos FC	44c	567.99$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.92	1,651	50.6%836 W · 815 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Santos FC	34c	545.69$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.65	1,537	45.2%695 W · 842 L	+21.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Santos FC	43c	534.09$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.66	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Santos FC	30c	394.96$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.65	311	36.7%114 W · 197 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde4b…1222backed CSyD Macará	56c	329.99$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed CSyD Macará	65c	324.09$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.66	3,749	38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L	-33.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Santos FC	44c	300$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	559	46%257 W · 302 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked CSyD Macará	77c	259.74$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.74	212	52.4%111 W · 101 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Santos FC	44c	259.52$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.19	77	48.1%37 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Santos FC	41c	250.95$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.31	1,038	49.4%513 W · 525 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed CSyD Macará	56c	216.77$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.38	1,439	37.5%540 W · 899 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Santos FC	33c	193.29$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.88	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9f8…0108backed CSyD Macará	56c	180$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.2	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	48cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Santos FC	19c	146.29$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.51	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Santos FC	21c	144.94$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	1,362	44.9%611 W · 751 L	-22.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Santos FC	43c	139.53$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+5.0wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Santos FC	28c	137.67$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.81	519	45.7%237 W · 282 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Santos FC	43c	116.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Santos FC	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Santos FC	43c	94.7$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.72	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Santos FC	42c	75$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.75	506	43.9%222 W · 284 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Santos FC	40c	68.05$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.18	898	46.1%414 W · 484 L	-11.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed CSyD Macará	61c	66.1$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.78	321	39.6%127 W · 194 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed CSyD Macará	77c	60.01$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.76	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Santos FC	41c	57.49$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.31	896	45.4%407 W · 489 L	-23.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed CSyD Macará	58c	48.07$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.19	404	51.2%207 W · 197 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Santos FC	43c	45.28$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-16%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb5…3444backed Santos FC	45c	40.79$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Santos FC	28c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	91	49.5%45 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed CSyD Macará	67c	39.37$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.87	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked CSyD Macará	79c	37.37$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.85	191	64.4%123 W · 68 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked CSyD Macará	72c	33$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.21	720	58.8%423 W · 297 L	+29.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked CSyD Macará	66c	29.95$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.32	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+4.0wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed CSyD Macará	68c	27.63$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.87	164	49.4%81 W · 83 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed Santos FC	45c	24.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed CSyD Macará	78c	24.94$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.49	142	64.1%91 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589f…2fe4backed CSyD Macará	56c	24.29$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.69	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed CSyD Macará	77c	22.3$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.24	951	55.8%531 W · 420 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed CSyD Macará	57c	21.06$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.09	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed CSyD Macará	77c	18.46$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.28	630	61.3%386 W · 244 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed CSyD Macará	76c	17$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.07	601	56.2%338 W · 263 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)this page
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 0.5Over won
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 1.5Over won
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5Over won
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 3.5Under won
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 4.5Under won
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 5.5Under won
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: Santos FC O/U 1.5Over won
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: Santos FC O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5)Santos FC won
Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)CSyD Macará won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event