South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf65758139fae9c4c175c891f7b53ef6d980dc3ac51c376a9f38db7b54acb9226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 39c | 10,045$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,153.75 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 37c | 8,892$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,611.72 | 1,323 | 42.8%566 W · 757 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 3,993$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.84 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 2,871$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.58 | 2,365 | 34.5%817 W · 1,548 L | -30.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 44c | 1,759$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.69 | 828 | 34.5%286 W · 542 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 1,190$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 64c | 1,025$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.96 | 250 | 55.2%138 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 36c | 922.63$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.48 | 718 | 36.8%264 W · 454 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 63c | 859.22$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.31 | 1,678 | 50.8%853 W · 825 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 51c | 742.04$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.39 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Under | 3c | 701.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 612.21$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.56 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 2c | 611.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 177 | 50.3%89 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 355.66$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.51 | 1,324 | 50.1%663 W · 661 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…85fbbacked Under | 44c | 319.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 39c | 290$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -26.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 63c | 266.43$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.85 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 64c | 260.46$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 59c | 254.32$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.07 | 926 | 46.3%429 W · 497 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 68c | 239.5$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.22 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bc…1523backed Over | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 36c | 198.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 195 | 41%80 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 37c | 194.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 37c | 135.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 511 | 56.2%287 W · 224 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 36c | 134$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 742 | 58.5%434 W · 308 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 37c | 129.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 701 | 53.2%373 W · 328 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 64c | 117.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 813 | 56.5%459 W · 354 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 36c | 104.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2,175 | 43.6%948 W · 1,227 L | -56.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 63c | 72.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 59c | 68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 189 | 46.6%88 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…c32abacked Under | 34c | 62.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Over | 36c | 57.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 66c | 50.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 271 | 65.7%178 W · 93 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 929 | 45.1%419 W · 510 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 67c | 46.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 45.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 2,648 | 54.2%1,436 W · 1,212 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 62c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1,055 | 49.3%520 W · 535 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589f…2fe4backed Over | 36c | 40.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 37c | 38.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…7ba8backed Under | 70c | 31.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Over | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…002fbacked Over | 69c | 24.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked Under | 68c | 21.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Boca Juniors 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Boca Juniors O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Newell's Old Boys 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Newell's Old Boys O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CA Newell's Old Boys won
- Spread: CA Newell's Old Boys (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.