South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x212eb2b4294952e13e3b788d3c080774ae1b989bac63f0963c6ca501356d94fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 17,073$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.89 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3756…b936backed Under | 3c | 2,758$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 3c | 1,005$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 3c | 917.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 16c | 853.51$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 13c | 833.19$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 17c | 743.89$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 15c | 689$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 7c | 421.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 16c | 404.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 15c | 400$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 15c | 164.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…3f3fbacked Under | 9c | 107.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 11c | 106.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 15c | 67.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5this page
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Boca Juniors 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Boca Juniors O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Newell's Old Boys 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Newell's Old Boys O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CA Newell's Old Boys won
- Spread: CA Newell's Old Boys (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.