South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd02ce65dfe9651cfc59e9fb4e2eac87c55073acd4f937b75aa898dbad2133f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 13,069$7,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,439.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 39c | 7,742$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.86 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 19c | 6,214$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,019.53 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 5,089$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 62c | 4,800$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 58c | 867.06$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.89 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 47c | 739.08$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b38…6dc8backed Over | 42c | 732.81$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +82%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 58c | 673.11$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 3c | 600.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 38c | 541.38$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.51 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Over | 62c | 535.05$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 12c | 480$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 17c | 394.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.43 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 57c | 326.74$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.98 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 43c | 309.34$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.69 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 65c | 285.6$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 63c | 200.35$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bc…1523backed Over | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 58c | 197.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.51 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 54c | 182.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +12.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 58c | 146.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 18c | 138.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 47c | 131$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 55c | 120.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 18c | 109.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 77c | 107.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Under | 55c | 72.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 58c | 68.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 57c | 65.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 18c | 63.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 59c | 58.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 61c | 50.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…c32abacked Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 65c | 49.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8e…32c0backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 58c | 40.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 62c | 35.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 60c | 33.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Under | 73c | 27.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 50c | 25.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 61c | 17.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Boca Juniors 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Boca Juniors O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Newell's Old Boys 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Newell's Old Boys O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CA Newell's Old Boys won
- Spread: CA Newell's Old Boys (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.