South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa92fb89a5a9ffa114391180436b59b0502bc8af3ead3ccc0e7dbcd39c970360b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 5,217$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 4,851$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.22 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 3c | 2,561$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 55c | 1,996$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.24 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 3c | 1,133$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 34c | 1,044$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.1 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Under | 3c | 484.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under | 3c | 468.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +370.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 5c | 352.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Over | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 3c | 333.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 44c | 303.16$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.52 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed Under | 5c | 295.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 6c | 288.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 7c | 283.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 38c | 279.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 45c | 252.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 20c | 234.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 63c | 207.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 45c | 196.02$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 9c | 164.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 10c | 151$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 62c | 147.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 44c | 123.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 23c | 92.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 64c | 72.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Under | 28c | 71.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 72c | 71.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 22c | 58.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 76c | 57.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 61c | 50.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked Under | 45c | 49.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 45c | 49.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…c32abacked Under | 32c | 42.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 37c | 30.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 38c | 30.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 45c | 25.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 62c | 23.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 63c | 20.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 74c | 16.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Boca Juniors 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Boca Juniors O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Newell's Old Boys 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Newell's Old Boys O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CA Newell's Old Boys won
- Spread: CA Newell's Old Boys (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.