CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29c6d98a72e0ba2e32ead086105f9671b200930f73687038a2e1675de8515f68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butterflyof Butterfly, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Butterfly | 58c | 26,184$15,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,976.5 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 25,000$10,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,441.15 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Butterfly | 58c | 2,406$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.71 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 1,745$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.01 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Butterfly | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 1,428$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.04 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Butterfly | 59c | 1,389$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.63 | 458 | 54.8%251 W · 207 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Butterfly | 59c | 1,316$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.47 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…dcb1backed Rune Eaters | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…bac0backed Butterfly | 60c | 923.82$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.82 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 900$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.6 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Butterfly | 55c | 799.98$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 944 | 45.7%431 W · 513 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 781.95$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.24 | 610 | 54.6%333 W · 277 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Butterfly | 57c | 769.09$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.01 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Rune Eaters | 12c | 526.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…666fbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 513$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 470$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 438.35$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 412.51$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.96 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 379.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 343 | 56.6%194 W · 149 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 370.3$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 331.93$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 415 | 55.4%230 W · 185 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Rune Eaters | 28c | 321$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 311.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 300.6$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.68 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 982 | 48.3%474 W · 508 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 328 | 40.2%132 W · 196 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Butterfly | 72c | 264.42$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 234.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 680 | 59.3%403 W · 277 L | +64.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Rune Eaters | 10c | 227$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed Butterfly | 68c | 220.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 220$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 401 | 75.1%301 W · 100 L | +20.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 217.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed Butterfly | 70c | 213.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Butterfly | 61c | 203.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 192.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 190.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Rune Eaters | 23c | 187.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rune Eaters | 26c | 186.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 174.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 169.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 912 | 45.8%418 W · 494 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 169.4$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 543 | 39.4%214 W · 329 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…d1acbacked Butterfly | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 163.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Butterfly | 62c | 161.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Butterfly | 76c | 161.27$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 158.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 149.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rune Eaters | 28c | 134.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 126.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 1,069 | 37.8%404 W · 665 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Butterfly | 61c | 120.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 463 | 54%250 W · 213 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Butterfly | 57c | 105.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 216 | 50%108 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8f24backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 104.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 673 | 50.1%337 W · 336 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rune Eaters | 16c | 98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Butterfly | 63c | 94.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 94.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 242 | 55.8%135 W · 107 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Butterfly | 63c | 82.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 835 | 56.2%469 W · 366 L | +31.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7955…ce08backed Butterfly | 57c | 73.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Butterfly | 58c | 68.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 67.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Butterfly | 56c | 67.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 66.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…6b60backed Butterfly | 61c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed Butterfly | 62c | 64.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 62.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…472ebacked Rune Eaters | 32c | 59.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 52.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 50.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Butterfly | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 252 | 52%131 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 41.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 41.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 349 | 41.5%145 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Butterfly | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 232 | 65.1%151 W · 81 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 39.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 35.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 185 | 63.2%117 W · 68 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 34.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 33.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Butterfly | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 390 | 72.3%282 W · 108 L | +37.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e84…6624backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 277 | 46.2%128 W · 149 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 232 | 35.3%82 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0548…2d86backed Butterfly | 80c | 26.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked Butterfly | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…ddc2backed Butterfly | 58c | 25.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…ec79backed Butterfly | 79c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 70cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked Butterfly | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589f…2fe4backed Butterfly | 57c | 18.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…28e4backed Butterfly | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 WinnerButterfly won
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerButterfly won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.