MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80b675758b2056883fd14b2dd05dc8baeb7a09cdfa9d24955c756bb0671b23b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Texas Rangers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 77,777$35,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,444.05 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 30,191$16,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,887.86 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 17,569$9,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,923.01 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 14,877$8,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,739.26 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.34 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 3,292$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.82 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 2,677$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.97 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,895$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.48 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 1,508$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.46 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 1,312$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.85 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd959…50debacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 1,224$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,024$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.45 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 758.89$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.98 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 603.82$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.76 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Texas Rangers | 8c | 485$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 442.02$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.89 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 371.97$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas Rangers | 16c | 371$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 340$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 322$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Texas Rangers | 43c | 299.4$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.74 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 272.69$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdd…8fd9backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 259$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 244.55$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.94 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 230.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 225.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.51 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 193$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 185.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 183.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 160.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 22c | 109$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Texas Rangers | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 94.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…fcdfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 67.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 66.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 63.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 61.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 60.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 59.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9071…0909backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 57.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 50.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 47.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6c…f3eabacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 45.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c6f3backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 44.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 42.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 41.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 38.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 37.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 32.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 30.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589f…2fe4backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 28.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 27.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 23.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…eebbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 20.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 18.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 16.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 16.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-5.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.