MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53e7f2d9b19430348aff78988feec3f3b0058d96ffe26b24d1b0789f78870de7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 5,195$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.62 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 4,871$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.41 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 37c | 3,518$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.45 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.1 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 1,078$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.58 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 29c | 1,057$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.71 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Los Angeles Angels | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 560.14$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.64 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…b200backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 471.29$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 273.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.27 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 269.75$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.69 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 245.82$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 204.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 198.34$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 181.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Angels | 75c | 136.51$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…bea1backed Texas Rangers | 12c | 123.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 25c | 106$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Los Angeles Angels | 71c | 104.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 90.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 90.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Texas Rangers | 75c | 84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Texas Rangers | 31c | 82.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 74.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 72.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 72.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 64.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 64.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 62.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 40.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Texas Rangers | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 38.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…ceafbacked Texas Rangers | 69c | 33.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 29.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 29.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 26.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 25.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 23.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 21.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 20.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-5.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.