MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bb8c6b2924be1a9fea6cbe997bc079dd39ca618e3de4c6fb8c1094f5ebb98a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 3,389$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.51 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,625$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.5 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 1,607$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.61 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 56c | 1,600$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.96 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 1,568$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 33c | 1,105$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.69 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 45c | 1,021$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.45 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 1,020$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.98 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 44c | 993.2$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.01 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 970.94$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 50c | 966.02$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.01 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 61c | 819.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.66 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 44c | 731.99$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.08 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 44c | 519.85$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 39c | 334.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.07 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 56c | 321.47$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 309.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 44c | 276$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 40c | 222.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 72c | 191.16$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 45c | 176.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 50c | 173.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 44c | 158.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 55c | 143.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 37c | 123$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 119.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 64c | 119$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 56c | 114$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 38c | 97.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 53c | 95.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 80.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 44c | 72.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 52c | 50.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Over | 39c | 44.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…3805backed Over | 46c | 43.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Over | 45c | 38.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…02f0backed Under | 53c | 35.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 50c | 33.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 42c | 31.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Under | 50c | 30.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 45c | 29.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…eeedbacked Under | 56c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Under | 63c | 26.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 39c | 26.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 45c | 22.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…34e7backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 64c | 16.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 63c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-5.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.